**Forecasts from the Met Office indicate a maximum of 26°C for London on June 16, 2026, under settled high-pressure conditions with light southerly breezes and mostly sunny spells.** This aligns with above-average June temperatures following May's record heat, though without the extreme southerly flow that drove prior highs. Ensemble models show tight clustering around 24–27°C, with differences hinging on exact cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island contributions at official stations such as Heathrow or Kew. Trader consensus between 25°C (34.5%) and 26°C (31.5%) reflects this narrow uncertainty range, as minor shifts in wind direction or insolation could tip the observed peak either way before resolution on the official Met Office maximum. Updated model runs and the next Met Office briefing remain key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in London on June 16?
25°C 35%
26°C 32%
24°C 15%
27°C 6.6%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
5%
24°C
15%
25°C
35%
26°C
32%
27°C
7%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
25°C 35%
26°C 32%
24°C 15%
27°C 6.6%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
5%
24°C
15%
25°C
35%
26°C
32%
27°C
7%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Forecasts from the Met Office indicate a maximum of 26°C for London on June 16, 2026, under settled high-pressure conditions with light southerly breezes and mostly sunny spells.** This aligns with above-average June temperatures following May's record heat, though without the extreme southerly flow that drove prior highs. Ensemble models show tight clustering around 24–27°C, with differences hinging on exact cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island contributions at official stations such as Heathrow or Kew. Trader consensus between 25°C (34.5%) and 26°C (31.5%) reflects this narrow uncertainty range, as minor shifts in wind direction or insolation could tip the observed peak either way before resolution on the official Met Office maximum. Updated model runs and the next Met Office briefing remain key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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