Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble models indicate a 24°C maximum for London on June 15 under high pressure with variable cloud and sunny intervals, supporting the near-even split between the 22°C and 23°C outcomes. Traders are differentiating these levels based on subtle factors such as boundary-layer mixing, afternoon solar heating rates, and any increase in low-level stratus that could cap temperatures 1–2°C below guidance. With the 24°C-or-higher bin at 23.5%, attention centers on whether model bias toward warmer solutions holds or if Atlantic moisture advection strengthens overnight. Updated short-range runs tomorrow morning will refine the final resolution range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in London on June 15?
Highest temperature in London on June 15?
22°C 32%
23°C 32%
24°C or higher 23.5%
21°C 10%
最新
$15,873 交易量
最新
$15,873 交易量
2026-06-15
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
6%
21°C
10%
22°C
32%
23°C
32%
24°C or higher
24%
22°C 32%
23°C 32%
24°C or higher 23.5%
21°C 10%
最新
$15,873 交易量
最新
$15,873 交易量
2026-06-15
14°C or below
$473 交易量
<1%
15°C
$468 交易量
<1%
16°C
$312 交易量
<1%
17°C
$519 交易量
<1%
18°C
$1,144 交易量
<1%
19°C
$1,588 交易量
2%
20°C
$2,390 交易量
6%
21°C
$2,003 交易量
10%
22°C
$2,153 交易量
32%
23°C
$2,049 交易量
32%
24°C or higher
$3,149 交易量
24%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble models indicate a 24°C maximum for London on June 15 under high pressure with variable cloud and sunny intervals, supporting the near-even split between the 22°C and 23°C outcomes. Traders are differentiating these levels based on subtle factors such as boundary-layer mixing, afternoon solar heating rates, and any increase in low-level stratus that could cap temperatures 1–2°C below guidance. With the 24°C-or-higher bin at 23.5%, attention centers on whether model bias toward warmer solutions holds or if Atlantic moisture advection strengthens overnight. Updated short-range runs tomorrow morning will refine the final resolution range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
交易量
$15,873结束日期
2026-06-15市场开放时间
Jun 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble models indicate a 24°C maximum for London on June 15 under high pressure with variable cloud and sunny intervals, supporting the near-even split between the 22°C and 23°C outcomes. Traders are differentiating these levels based on subtle factors such as boundary-layer mixing, afternoon solar heating rates, and any increase in low-level stratus that could cap temperatures 1–2°C below guidance. With the 24°C-or-higher bin at 23.5%, attention centers on whether model bias toward warmer solutions holds or if Atlantic moisture advection strengthens overnight. Updated short-range runs tomorrow morning will refine the final resolution range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$15,873结束日期
2026-06-15市场开放时间
Jun 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ETRecent Met Office guidance and ensemble models indicate a 24°C maximum for London on June 15 under high pressure with variable cloud and sunny intervals, supporting the near-even split between the 22°C and 23°C outcomes. Traders are differentiating these levels based on subtle factors such as boundary-layer mixing, afternoon solar heating rates, and any increase in low-level stratus that could cap temperatures 1–2°C below guidance. With the 24°C-or-higher bin at 23.5%, attention centers on whether model bias toward warmer solutions holds or if Atlantic moisture advection strengthens overnight. Updated short-range runs tomorrow morning will refine the final resolution range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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