Current official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models indicate a daily minimum near 26°C on June 13 under typical early-summer monsoon conditions, with above-normal seasonal temperatures supporting trader emphasis on 25–27°C outcomes. Persistent high humidity, light southerly winds, and scattered showers or cloud cover limit nighttime radiative cooling and reduce the likelihood of extremes below 24°C, while model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability. Historical June minima cluster around 24–27°C, and recent multi-day trends of 24–26°C lows align with this range; any shift in cloud timing or localized rainfall could adjust the recorded minimum within the tightly grouped mid-tier probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月13日香港最低气温?
26°C 27%
28°C 24%
25°C 21%
27°C 21%
22°C或以下
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
15%
25°C
21%
26°C
27%
27°C
21%
28°C
24%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C或以上
1%
26°C 27%
28°C 24%
25°C 21%
27°C 21%
22°C或以下
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
15%
25°C
21%
26°C
27%
27°C
21%
28°C
24%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C或以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Jun 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models indicate a daily minimum near 26°C on June 13 under typical early-summer monsoon conditions, with above-normal seasonal temperatures supporting trader emphasis on 25–27°C outcomes. Persistent high humidity, light southerly winds, and scattered showers or cloud cover limit nighttime radiative cooling and reduce the likelihood of extremes below 24°C, while model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability. Historical June minima cluster around 24–27°C, and recent multi-day trends of 24–26°C lows align with this range; any shift in cloud timing or localized rainfall could adjust the recorded minimum within the tightly grouped mid-tier probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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