Current forecasts from meteorological agencies place Mexico City’s June 10 maximum near 23–24 °C, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 34.5 % and 30.5 % implied probability. At the city’s high elevation of roughly 2,240 meters, strong daytime solar heating is routinely tempered by the onset of the rainy season, which brings afternoon cloud build-up, scattered showers, and evaporative cooling that caps peaks below the seasonal 25 °C average. Recent model runs show modest spread driven by variable moisture advection and urban heat-island effects, keeping the exact high within a narrow 22–25 °C window. Traders are therefore weighting the two central outcomes most heavily while discounting tails below 22 °C or above 25 °C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Mexico City on June 10?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on June 10?
23°C 34%
24°C 30%
22°C 18.6%
25°C 10%
最新
$11,578 交易量
最新
$11,578 交易量
2026-06-10
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
20%
23°C
34%
24°C
30%
25°C
10%
26°C
5%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
23°C 34%
24°C 30%
22°C 18.6%
25°C 10%
最新
$11,578 交易量
最新
$11,578 交易量
2026-06-10
20°C or below
$3,589 交易量
<1%
21°C
$2,273 交易量
2%
22°C
$1,543 交易量
20%
23°C
$650 交易量
34%
24°C
$548 交易量
30%
25°C
$1,002 交易量
10%
26°C
$376 交易量
5%
27°C
$861 交易量
<1%
28°C
$199 交易量
<1%
29°C
$219 交易量
<1%
30°C or higher
$338 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological agencies place Mexico City’s June 10 maximum near 23–24 °C, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 34.5 % and 30.5 % implied probability. At the city’s high elevation of roughly 2,240 meters, strong daytime solar heating is routinely tempered by the onset of the rainy season, which brings afternoon cloud build-up, scattered showers, and evaporative cooling that caps peaks below the seasonal 25 °C average. Recent model runs show modest spread driven by variable moisture advection and urban heat-island effects, keeping the exact high within a narrow 22–25 °C window. Traders are therefore weighting the two central outcomes most heavily while discounting tails below 22 °C or above 25 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 8, 2026, 10:14 PM ET
交易量
$11,578结束日期
2026-06-10市场开放时间
Jun 8, 2026, 10:14 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological agencies place Mexico City’s June 10 maximum near 23–24 °C, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 34.5 % and 30.5 % implied probability. At the city’s high elevation of roughly 2,240 meters, strong daytime solar heating is routinely tempered by the onset of the rainy season, which brings afternoon cloud build-up, scattered showers, and evaporative cooling that caps peaks below the seasonal 25 °C average. Recent model runs show modest spread driven by variable moisture advection and urban heat-island effects, keeping the exact high within a narrow 22–25 °C window. Traders are therefore weighting the two central outcomes most heavily while discounting tails below 22 °C or above 25 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$11,578结束日期
2026-06-10市场开放时间
Jun 8, 2026, 10:14 PM ETCurrent forecasts from meteorological agencies place Mexico City’s June 10 maximum near 23–24 °C, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 34.5 % and 30.5 % implied probability. At the city’s high elevation of roughly 2,240 meters, strong daytime solar heating is routinely tempered by the onset of the rainy season, which brings afternoon cloud build-up, scattered showers, and evaporative cooling that caps peaks below the seasonal 25 °C average. Recent model runs show modest spread driven by variable moisture advection and urban heat-island effects, keeping the exact high within a narrow 22–25 °C window. Traders are therefore weighting the two central outcomes most heavily while discounting tails below 22 °C or above 25 °C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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