Recent weather model consensus points to a daytime high in Mexico City near 24–25 °C on June 11, driven by typical early-summer conditions in the high-altitude Valley of Mexico where solar heating peaks in the afternoon before scattered showers develop. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread around this range, reflecting uncertainty in the exact timing and coverage of convective rainfall that can cap temperatures by a degree or two. Historical June climatology places average daily maxima at approximately 24 °C, providing a stable baseline that aligns with current model guidance and supports the narrow clustering of market-implied probabilities between 23 °C and 26 °C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月11日墨西哥城气温最高?
24℃ 33%
25°C 27%
23°C 10%
26°C 7.8%
19°C或以下
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
10%
24℃
33%
25°C
27%
26°C
8%
27°C
4%
28°C
1%
29°C或更高
1%
24℃ 33%
25°C 27%
23°C 10%
26°C 7.8%
19°C或以下
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
10%
24℃
33%
25°C
27%
26°C
8%
27°C
4%
28°C
1%
29°C或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 9, 2026, 9:10 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent weather model consensus points to a daytime high in Mexico City near 24–25 °C on June 11, driven by typical early-summer conditions in the high-altitude Valley of Mexico where solar heating peaks in the afternoon before scattered showers develop. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread around this range, reflecting uncertainty in the exact timing and coverage of convective rainfall that can cap temperatures by a degree or two. Historical June climatology places average daily maxima at approximately 24 °C, providing a stable baseline that aligns with current model guidance and supports the narrow clustering of market-implied probabilities between 23 °C and 26 °C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题