Trader consensus has converged on a 29°C daily maximum for Chengdu on June 12 due to real-time surface observations and numerical weather prediction models from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration showing peak temperatures stabilizing near this threshold under prevailing subtropical high pressure and moderate humidity. June climatology supports this range, with typical highs of 28–30°C amid the early monsoon transition, and current steering patterns limit stronger advection of warmer air masses. Official station data, which resolve the market, are expected to confirm this value barring minor calibration adjustments. Unlikely challengers include localized convective heating or station-specific microclimate effects that could push readings to 30°C or higher, though model ensembles currently assign low probability to such deviations before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 12?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 12?
29°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$46,166 交易量
$46,166 交易量
2026-06-12
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$46,166 交易量
$46,166 交易量
2026-06-12
24°C or below
$1,584 交易量
No
25°C
$1,687 交易量
No
26°C
$3,548 交易量
No
27°C
$3,835 交易量
No
28°C
$7,863 交易量
No
29°C
$10,243 交易量
Yes
30°C
$5,703 交易量
No
31°C
$3,985 交易量
No
32°C
$4,012 交易量
No
33°C
$1,368 交易量
No
34°C or higher
$2,339 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has converged on a 29°C daily maximum for Chengdu on June 12 due to real-time surface observations and numerical weather prediction models from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration showing peak temperatures stabilizing near this threshold under prevailing subtropical high pressure and moderate humidity. June climatology supports this range, with typical highs of 28–30°C amid the early monsoon transition, and current steering patterns limit stronger advection of warmer air masses. Official station data, which resolve the market, are expected to confirm this value barring minor calibration adjustments. Unlikely challengers include localized convective heating or station-specific microclimate effects that could push readings to 30°C or higher, though model ensembles currently assign low probability to such deviations before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 10, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
交易量
$46,166结束日期
2026-06-12市场开放时间
Jun 10, 2026, 12:16 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has converged on a 29°C daily maximum for Chengdu on June 12 due to real-time surface observations and numerical weather prediction models from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration showing peak temperatures stabilizing near this threshold under prevailing subtropical high pressure and moderate humidity. June climatology supports this range, with typical highs of 28–30°C amid the early monsoon transition, and current steering patterns limit stronger advection of warmer air masses. Official station data, which resolve the market, are expected to confirm this value barring minor calibration adjustments. Unlikely challengers include localized convective heating or station-specific microclimate effects that could push readings to 30°C or higher, though model ensembles currently assign low probability to such deviations before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$46,166结束日期
2026-06-12市场开放时间
Jun 10, 2026, 12:16 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus has converged on a 29°C daily maximum for Chengdu on June 12 due to real-time surface observations and numerical weather prediction models from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration showing peak temperatures stabilizing near this threshold under prevailing subtropical high pressure and moderate humidity. June climatology supports this range, with typical highs of 28–30°C amid the early monsoon transition, and current steering patterns limit stronger advection of warmer air masses. Official station data, which resolve the market, are expected to confirm this value barring minor calibration adjustments. Unlikely challengers include localized convective heating or station-specific microclimate effects that could push readings to 30°C or higher, though model ensembles currently assign low probability to such deviations before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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