The market's overwhelming 99.9% consensus on 17°C reflects real-time observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport and nearby stations, where temperatures peaked near that mark under mostly cloudy skies, westerly flow, and scattered showers that limited solar heating on June 14. Multiple forecast models aligned on a daily maximum in the 16–17°C range, consistent with climatological June averages around 22°C but tempered by this day's cooler, unsettled pattern. Official resolution depends on the precise highest recorded value or verified daily maximum from authorized meteorological sources. A brief unobserved spike or post-event data revision remains the primary scenario that could shift the outcome, though current evidence makes such adjustments unlikely.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月14日华沙最高气温?
17°C 99.9%
18°C <1%
10°C或以下 <1%
11°C <1%
$76,288 交易量
$76,288 交易量
10°C或以下
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
100%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C或更高
<1%
17°C 99.9%
18°C <1%
10°C或以下 <1%
11°C <1%
$76,288 交易量
$76,288 交易量
10°C或以下
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
100%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The market's overwhelming 99.9% consensus on 17°C reflects real-time observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport and nearby stations, where temperatures peaked near that mark under mostly cloudy skies, westerly flow, and scattered showers that limited solar heating on June 14. Multiple forecast models aligned on a daily maximum in the 16–17°C range, consistent with climatological June averages around 22°C but tempered by this day's cooler, unsettled pattern. Official resolution depends on the precise highest recorded value or verified daily maximum from authorized meteorological sources. A brief unobserved spike or post-event data revision remains the primary scenario that could shift the outcome, though current evidence makes such adjustments unlikely.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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