Recent meteorological forecasts from agencies including the Italian Meteorological Service and ECMWF models indicate a peak temperature near 30°C for Milan on June 14, 2026, driven by stable high-pressure conditions and gradual advection of warmer air masses typical for early summer in the Po Valley. This aligns with the market's leading 62.5% implied probability for 30°C, followed by 31°C at 20%, reflecting minor ensemble spread in maximum readings. Historical June climatology shows average highs of 25–28°C, with urban heat island effects in Milan often adding 1–2°C; current model consensus and lack of significant cloud cover or precipitation support the tight clustering around these values ahead of official station verification.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Milan on June 14?
30°C 74%
29°C 26.0%
31°C 11%
32°C 1.3%
$35,516 交易量
$35,516 交易量
28°C或以下
<1%
29°C
24%
30°C
62%
31°C
11%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
30°C 74%
29°C 26.0%
31°C 11%
32°C 1.3%
$35,516 交易量
$35,516 交易量
28°C或以下
<1%
29°C
24%
30°C
62%
31°C
11%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent meteorological forecasts from agencies including the Italian Meteorological Service and ECMWF models indicate a peak temperature near 30°C for Milan on June 14, 2026, driven by stable high-pressure conditions and gradual advection of warmer air masses typical for early summer in the Po Valley. This aligns with the market's leading 62.5% implied probability for 30°C, followed by 31°C at 20%, reflecting minor ensemble spread in maximum readings. Historical June climatology shows average highs of 25–28°C, with urban heat island effects in Milan often adding 1–2°C; current model consensus and lack of significant cloud cover or precipitation support the tight clustering around these values ahead of official station verification.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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