Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Milan highs near 27–32°C on June 16 under building high pressure and southerly warm advection, with limited cloud cover and strong daytime insolation supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds at 29°C and 30°C. Subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, exact frontal timing, or local urban heat effects can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C, keeping these outcomes closely matched while reducing probabilities for 31°C or higher. Recent observations show temperatures already reaching the low 30s, consistent with seasonal warming trends but still within normal June variability for the Po Valley. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine maximum-temperature guidance ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Milan on June 16?
29°C 38%
30°C 36%
28°C 13%
31°C 13%
27°C or below
2%
28°C
13%
29°C
38%
30°C
36%
31°C
13%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
29°C 38%
30°C 36%
28°C 13%
31°C 13%
27°C or below
2%
28°C
13%
29°C
38%
30°C
36%
31°C
13%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Milan highs near 27–32°C on June 16 under building high pressure and southerly warm advection, with limited cloud cover and strong daytime insolation supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds at 29°C and 30°C. Subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, exact frontal timing, or local urban heat effects can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C, keeping these outcomes closely matched while reducing probabilities for 31°C or higher. Recent observations show temperatures already reaching the low 30s, consistent with seasonal warming trends but still within normal June variability for the Po Valley. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine maximum-temperature guidance ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题