Persistent cloud cover, rain showers, and onshore flow from the East China Sea have suppressed daytime heating in Shanghai on June 14, 2026, aligning with official forecasts of a daily maximum near 24°C (75–76°F) but favoring the 22°C outcome at 78.5% implied probability. This reflects the ongoing plum rain (meiyu) season’s typical late-spring/early-summer conditions, where stratiform clouds and moderate humidity limit solar insolation and cap temperatures below the mid-June climatological average of 27–28°C. Recent model consensus from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather shows minimal warming potential through the afternoon, with overcast skies and light winds reducing the chance of reaching 23°C or higher to just 22%. The market’s tight clustering around 22–23°C underscores trader recognition of these verifiable observational constraints ahead of the official station reading.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月14日上海气温最高？
6月14日上海气温最高？
22°C 63.7%
23°C 37%
24°C <1%
26°C <1%
$139,315 交易量
$139,315 交易量
2026-06-14
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
64%
23°C
37%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C或以上
<1%
22°C 63.7%
23°C 37%
24°C <1%
26°C <1%
$139,315 交易量
$139,315 交易量
2026-06-14
20°C or below
$1,007 交易量
<1%
21°C
$7,484 交易量
<1%
22°C
$36,426 交易量
64%
23°C
$18,097 交易量
37%
24°C
$20,427 交易量
1%
25°C
$14,970 交易量
<1%
26°C
$11,581 交易量
<1%
27°C
$10,016 交易量
<1%
28°C
$8,426 交易量
<1%
29°C
$6,357 交易量
<1%
30°C或以上
$5,702 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, rain showers, and onshore flow from the East China Sea have suppressed daytime heating in Shanghai on June 14, 2026, aligning with official forecasts of a daily maximum near 24°C (75–76°F) but favoring the 22°C outcome at 78.5% implied probability. This reflects the ongoing plum rain (meiyu) season’s typical late-spring/early-summer conditions, where stratiform clouds and moderate humidity limit solar insolation and cap temperatures below the mid-June climatological average of 27–28°C. Recent model consensus from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather shows minimal warming potential through the afternoon, with overcast skies and light winds reducing the chance of reaching 23°C or higher to just 22%. The market’s tight clustering around 22–23°C underscores trader recognition of these verifiable observational constraints ahead of the official station reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$139,315结束日期
2026-06-14市场开放时间
Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, rain showers, and onshore flow from the East China Sea have suppressed daytime heating in Shanghai on June 14, 2026, aligning with official forecasts of a daily maximum near 24°C (75–76°F) but favoring the 22°C outcome at 78.5% implied probability. This reflects the ongoing plum rain (meiyu) season’s typical late-spring/early-summer conditions, where stratiform clouds and moderate humidity limit solar insolation and cap temperatures below the mid-June climatological average of 27–28°C. Recent model consensus from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather shows minimal warming potential through the afternoon, with overcast skies and light winds reducing the chance of reaching 23°C or higher to just 22%. The market’s tight clustering around 22–23°C underscores trader recognition of these verifiable observational constraints ahead of the official station reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$139,315结束日期
2026-06-14市场开放时间
Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ETPersistent cloud cover, rain showers, and onshore flow from the East China Sea have suppressed daytime heating in Shanghai on June 14, 2026, aligning with official forecasts of a daily maximum near 24°C (75–76°F) but favoring the 22°C outcome at 78.5% implied probability. This reflects the ongoing plum rain (meiyu) season’s typical late-spring/early-summer conditions, where stratiform clouds and moderate humidity limit solar insolation and cap temperatures below the mid-June climatological average of 27–28°C. Recent model consensus from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather shows minimal warming potential through the afternoon, with overcast skies and light winds reducing the chance of reaching 23°C or higher to just 22%. The market’s tight clustering around 22–23°C underscores trader recognition of these verifiable observational constraints ahead of the official station reading.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题