Latest forecasts from agencies including the BBC and regional models project a daytime high of 21–23°C in Munich on June 14, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with moderate westerly winds and minimal precipitation. This setup aligns with climatological June averages near 22°C and reflects recent model consensus showing stable atmospheric conditions without significant warming or cooling advection. Trader positioning, heavily weighted toward 22°C (57.5% implied probability) and 21°C (38.5%), incorporates real-time observational updates and short-range ensemble runs that limit upside risk from stronger insolation or downside from increased cloud cover. Resolution will hinge on official maximum readings at Munich stations, with any late-day model revisions capable of shifting marginal probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月14日慕尼黑的最高温度?
22°C 48%
21°C 39%
23°C 8.5%
24°C <1%
$65,078 交易量
$65,078 交易量
16°C或以下
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
43%
22°C
48%
23°C
9%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C或更高
<1%
22°C 48%
21°C 39%
23°C 8.5%
24°C <1%
$65,078 交易量
$65,078 交易量
16°C或以下
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
43%
22°C
48%
23°C
9%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest forecasts from agencies including the BBC and regional models project a daytime high of 21–23°C in Munich on June 14, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with moderate westerly winds and minimal precipitation. This setup aligns with climatological June averages near 22°C and reflects recent model consensus showing stable atmospheric conditions without significant warming or cooling advection. Trader positioning, heavily weighted toward 22°C (57.5% implied probability) and 21°C (38.5%), incorporates real-time observational updates and short-range ensemble runs that limit upside risk from stronger insolation or downside from increased cloud cover. Resolution will hinge on official maximum readings at Munich stations, with any late-day model revisions capable of shifting marginal probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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