Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models show Munich's June 16 daytime maximum clustered around 22–23 °C under partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow. This tight spread drives the near-even market shares for those two outcomes, with modest probability on 21 °C and 24 °C reflecting residual uncertainty in cloud timing and any weak frontal timing. Key differentiating factors include daytime insolation under variable high cloud, local measurement site characteristics (urban heat island versus airport readings), and small differences between ECMWF and GFS runs on boundary-layer mixing. Updated model cycles and any observed changes in upstream Atlantic ridging over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen the distribution ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Munich on June 16?
Highest temperature in Munich on June 16?
22°C 31%
23°C 28%
21°C 18%
24°C 17%
最新
最新
2026-06-16
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
5%
21°C
18%
22°C
31%
23°C
28%
24°C
17%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
22°C 31%
23°C 28%
21°C 18%
24°C 17%
最新
最新
2026-06-16
18°C or below
$569 交易量
<1%
19°C
$712 交易量
1%
20°C
$79 交易量
5%
21°C
$141 交易量
18%
22°C
$124 交易量
31%
23°C
$171 交易量
28%
24°C
$647 交易量
17%
25°C
$435 交易量
2%
26°C
$296 交易量
1%
27°C
$438 交易量
<1%
28°C or higher
$482 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models show Munich's June 16 daytime maximum clustered around 22–23 °C under partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow. This tight spread drives the near-even market shares for those two outcomes, with modest probability on 21 °C and 24 °C reflecting residual uncertainty in cloud timing and any weak frontal timing. Key differentiating factors include daytime insolation under variable high cloud, local measurement site characteristics (urban heat island versus airport readings), and small differences between ECMWF and GFS runs on boundary-layer mixing. Updated model cycles and any observed changes in upstream Atlantic ridging over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$3,993结束日期
2026-06-16市场开放时间
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models show Munich's June 16 daytime maximum clustered around 22–23 °C under partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow. This tight spread drives the near-even market shares for those two outcomes, with modest probability on 21 °C and 24 °C reflecting residual uncertainty in cloud timing and any weak frontal timing. Key differentiating factors include daytime insolation under variable high cloud, local measurement site characteristics (urban heat island versus airport readings), and small differences between ECMWF and GFS runs on boundary-layer mixing. Updated model cycles and any observed changes in upstream Atlantic ridging over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,993结束日期
2026-06-16市场开放时间
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models show Munich's June 16 daytime maximum clustered around 22–23 °C under partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow. This tight spread drives the near-even market shares for those two outcomes, with modest probability on 21 °C and 24 °C reflecting residual uncertainty in cloud timing and any weak frontal timing. Key differentiating factors include daytime insolation under variable high cloud, local measurement site characteristics (urban heat island versus airport readings), and small differences between ECMWF and GFS runs on boundary-layer mixing. Updated model cycles and any observed changes in upstream Atlantic ridging over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen the distribution ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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