Recent ensemble forecasts from major numerical weather prediction models have converged on a daytime maximum near 30 °C for Guangzhou on June 16, anchoring the leading market-implied probability at 29.5 %. In this early-summer subtropical monsoon regime, moderate northeasterly flow, elevated boundary-layer moisture, and scattered convective clouds are expected to limit peak insolation and suppress temperatures modestly below the climatological June average of ~31 °C. Official guidance highlights a moderate-rain scenario that further caps heating, while model spread around steering patterns and afternoon thunderstorm timing explains why 29 °C and 31 °C remain competitive at 25.5 % and 21.5 %. Updated runs from the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Guangzhou on June 16?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on June 16?
30°C 29%
31°C 24%
29°C 21%
32°C 14.9%
最新
最新
2026-06-16
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
6%
28°C
8%
29°C
21%
30°C
29%
31°C
24%
32°C
15%
33°C or higher
2%
30°C 29%
31°C 24%
29°C 21%
32°C 14.9%
最新
最新
2026-06-16
23°C or below
$322 交易量
<1%
24°C
$66 交易量
<1%
25°C
$34 交易量
<1%
26°C
$582 交易量
2%
27°C
$135 交易量
6%
28°C
$56 交易量
8%
29°C
$58 交易量
21%
30°C
$58 交易量
29%
31°C
$97 交易量
24%
32°C
$218 交易量
15%
33°C or higher
$245 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major numerical weather prediction models have converged on a daytime maximum near 30 °C for Guangzhou on June 16, anchoring the leading market-implied probability at 29.5 %. In this early-summer subtropical monsoon regime, moderate northeasterly flow, elevated boundary-layer moisture, and scattered convective clouds are expected to limit peak insolation and suppress temperatures modestly below the climatological June average of ~31 °C. Official guidance highlights a moderate-rain scenario that further caps heating, while model spread around steering patterns and afternoon thunderstorm timing explains why 29 °C and 31 °C remain competitive at 25.5 % and 21.5 %. Updated runs from the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
交易量
$1,871结束日期
2026-06-16市场开放时间
Jun 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major numerical weather prediction models have converged on a daytime maximum near 30 °C for Guangzhou on June 16, anchoring the leading market-implied probability at 29.5 %. In this early-summer subtropical monsoon regime, moderate northeasterly flow, elevated boundary-layer moisture, and scattered convective clouds are expected to limit peak insolation and suppress temperatures modestly below the climatological June average of ~31 °C. Official guidance highlights a moderate-rain scenario that further caps heating, while model spread around steering patterns and afternoon thunderstorm timing explains why 29 °C and 31 °C remain competitive at 25.5 % and 21.5 %. Updated runs from the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,871结束日期
2026-06-16市场开放时间
Jun 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from major numerical weather prediction models have converged on a daytime maximum near 30 °C for Guangzhou on June 16, anchoring the leading market-implied probability at 29.5 %. In this early-summer subtropical monsoon regime, moderate northeasterly flow, elevated boundary-layer moisture, and scattered convective clouds are expected to limit peak insolation and suppress temperatures modestly below the climatological June average of ~31 °C. Official guidance highlights a moderate-rain scenario that further caps heating, while model spread around steering patterns and afternoon thunderstorm timing explains why 29 °C and 31 °C remain competitive at 25.5 % and 21.5 %. Updated runs from the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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