Recent Météo-France and ensemble model runs position 25–26°C as the most probable range for Paris’s June 14 maximum under building high pressure, mostly sunny skies, and light northwesterly flow that favors modest boundary-layer mixing and peak insolation. Traders assign nearly equal weight to these outcomes because small variations in cloud cover timing, surface wind speeds, or urban heat-island effects can shift the daily peak by 1°C. Historical June climatology places the long-term average high near 22°C, yet current synoptic patterns support warmer-than-normal readings without reaching the 28°C threshold that would require stronger advection or clearer radiative conditions. Updated model guidance expected later today will likely narrow the spread before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Paris on June 14?
Highest temperature in Paris on June 14?
26°C 43%
25°C 41%
27°C 9.5%
24°C 8.8%
$51,062 交易量
$51,062 交易量
2026-06-14
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
9%
25°C
41%
26°C
43%
27°C
10%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
26°C 43%
25°C 41%
27°C 9.5%
24°C 8.8%
$51,062 交易量
$51,062 交易量
2026-06-14
20°C or below
$3,004 交易量
<1%
21°C
$561 交易量
<1%
22°C
$2,550 交易量
<1%
23°C
$6,104 交易量
1%
24°C
$8,428 交易量
9%
25°C
$6,452 交易量
41%
26°C
$6,390 交易量
43%
27°C
$7,283 交易量
10%
28°C
$6,363 交易量
<1%
29°C
$2,383 交易量
<1%
30°C or higher
$3,413 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France and ensemble model runs position 25–26°C as the most probable range for Paris’s June 14 maximum under building high pressure, mostly sunny skies, and light northwesterly flow that favors modest boundary-layer mixing and peak insolation. Traders assign nearly equal weight to these outcomes because small variations in cloud cover timing, surface wind speeds, or urban heat-island effects can shift the daily peak by 1°C. Historical June climatology places the long-term average high near 22°C, yet current synoptic patterns support warmer-than-normal readings without reaching the 28°C threshold that would require stronger advection or clearer radiative conditions. Updated model guidance expected later today will likely narrow the spread before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$51,062结束日期
2026-06-14市场开放时间
Jun 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France and ensemble model runs position 25–26°C as the most probable range for Paris’s June 14 maximum under building high pressure, mostly sunny skies, and light northwesterly flow that favors modest boundary-layer mixing and peak insolation. Traders assign nearly equal weight to these outcomes because small variations in cloud cover timing, surface wind speeds, or urban heat-island effects can shift the daily peak by 1°C. Historical June climatology places the long-term average high near 22°C, yet current synoptic patterns support warmer-than-normal readings without reaching the 28°C threshold that would require stronger advection or clearer radiative conditions. Updated model guidance expected later today will likely narrow the spread before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$51,062结束日期
2026-06-14市场开放时间
Jun 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent Météo-France and ensemble model runs position 25–26°C as the most probable range for Paris’s June 14 maximum under building high pressure, mostly sunny skies, and light northwesterly flow that favors modest boundary-layer mixing and peak insolation. Traders assign nearly equal weight to these outcomes because small variations in cloud cover timing, surface wind speeds, or urban heat-island effects can shift the daily peak by 1°C. Historical June climatology places the long-term average high near 22°C, yet current synoptic patterns support warmer-than-normal readings without reaching the 28°C threshold that would require stronger advection or clearer radiative conditions. Updated model guidance expected later today will likely narrow the spread before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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