Recent ensemble forecasts from major models indicate Paris minimum temperatures on June 16 will likely settle near 19–20°C, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge promoting light easterly winds, moderate humidity, and partial cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling of the urban boundary layer. These conditions suppress the typical June climatological drop to 13–16°C lows, keeping overnight readings elevated. The narrow 0.5°C spread between the leading 19°C and 20°C bins reflects modest run-to-run variability in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud timing across ECMWF and GFS ensembles, with traders weighting the latest model consensus and observed trends in regional warmth. Resolution hinges on the official Météo-France 24-hour minimum recorded at Paris-Montsouris.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月16日巴黎最低气温?
19°C 24%
20°C 20%
18°C 11%
17°C 10%
16°C或以下
4%
17°C
10%
18°C
11%
19°C
24%
20°C
24%
21°C
3%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C或更高
<1%
19°C 24%
20°C 20%
18°C 11%
17°C 10%
16°C或以下
4%
17°C
10%
18°C
11%
19°C
24%
20°C
24%
21°C
3%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent ensemble forecasts from major models indicate Paris minimum temperatures on June 16 will likely settle near 19–20°C, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge promoting light easterly winds, moderate humidity, and partial cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling of the urban boundary layer. These conditions suppress the typical June climatological drop to 13–16°C lows, keeping overnight readings elevated. The narrow 0.5°C spread between the leading 19°C and 20°C bins reflects modest run-to-run variability in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud timing across ECMWF and GFS ensembles, with traders weighting the latest model consensus and observed trends in regional warmth. Resolution hinges on the official Météo-France 24-hour minimum recorded at Paris-Montsouris.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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