Recent forecasts from major numerical weather prediction models, including those from Météo-France and ECMWF, converge on a minimum temperature of 13°C for Paris on June 14, 2026, driven by clear skies overnight allowing moderate radiative cooling under light northerly winds and a stable high-pressure ridge. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-June, when average lows hover near 12–14°C amid lengthening daylight and seasonal warming of the boundary layer. Trader consensus at 99.2% for 13°C reflects the tight clustering of ensemble guidance and limited spread in short-range predictions. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected surge of cooler maritime air or enhanced cloud cover reducing overnight heat retention, potentially lowering readings by 1–2°C if model biases emerge late in the diurnal cycle.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月14日巴黎最低气温?
13°C 99.1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
10°C <1%
$10,103 交易量
$10,103 交易量
9°C或更低
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
99%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C或更高
<1%
13°C 99.1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
10°C <1%
$10,103 交易量
$10,103 交易量
9°C或更低
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
99%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from major numerical weather prediction models, including those from Météo-France and ECMWF, converge on a minimum temperature of 13°C for Paris on June 14, 2026, driven by clear skies overnight allowing moderate radiative cooling under light northerly winds and a stable high-pressure ridge. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-June, when average lows hover near 12–14°C amid lengthening daylight and seasonal warming of the boundary layer. Trader consensus at 99.2% for 13°C reflects the tight clustering of ensemble guidance and limited spread in short-range predictions. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected surge of cooler maritime air or enhanced cloud cover reducing overnight heat retention, potentially lowering readings by 1–2°C if model biases emerge late in the diurnal cycle.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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