Forecast models show Istanbul under a transitional synoptic regime for June 16, with south-easterly flow potentially advecting warmer air while a moderating maritime influence and possible afternoon sea breeze keep daytime maxima clustered near 25–27 °C. Ensemble guidance exhibits modest spread due to uncertainties in cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing, producing the tight market clustering at 25 °C (25 %), 26 °C (32 %), and 27 °C (19.5 %). These probabilities align with climatological June highs near 27 °C yet reflect traders weighting the risk of suppressed heating over deterministic runs that reach 29–31 °C. Updated model cycles and observational trends through June 15 will likely narrow the implied range ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 16?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 16?
26°C 32%
25°C 25%
27°C 20%
24°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-06-16
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
7%
25°C
25%
26°C
32%
27°C
20%
28°C
5%
29°C
5%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 32%
25°C 25%
27°C 20%
24°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-06-16
21°C or below
$291 交易量
<1%
22°C
$284 交易量
<1%
23°C
$401 交易量
2%
24°C
$44 交易量
7%
25°C
$62 交易量
25%
26°C
$112 交易量
32%
27°C
$154 交易量
20%
28°C
$16 交易量
5%
29°C
$89 交易量
5%
30°C
$130 交易量
1%
31°C or higher
$481 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models show Istanbul under a transitional synoptic regime for June 16, with south-easterly flow potentially advecting warmer air while a moderating maritime influence and possible afternoon sea breeze keep daytime maxima clustered near 25–27 °C. Ensemble guidance exhibits modest spread due to uncertainties in cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing, producing the tight market clustering at 25 °C (25 %), 26 °C (32 %), and 27 °C (19.5 %). These probabilities align with climatological June highs near 27 °C yet reflect traders weighting the risk of suppressed heating over deterministic runs that reach 29–31 °C. Updated model cycles and observational trends through June 15 will likely narrow the implied range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 14, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
交易量
$1,973结束日期
2026-06-16市场开放时间
Jun 14, 2026, 12:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models show Istanbul under a transitional synoptic regime for June 16, with south-easterly flow potentially advecting warmer air while a moderating maritime influence and possible afternoon sea breeze keep daytime maxima clustered near 25–27 °C. Ensemble guidance exhibits modest spread due to uncertainties in cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing, producing the tight market clustering at 25 °C (25 %), 26 °C (32 %), and 27 °C (19.5 %). These probabilities align with climatological June highs near 27 °C yet reflect traders weighting the risk of suppressed heating over deterministic runs that reach 29–31 °C. Updated model cycles and observational trends through June 15 will likely narrow the implied range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,973结束日期
2026-06-16市场开放时间
Jun 14, 2026, 12:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models show Istanbul under a transitional synoptic regime for June 16, with south-easterly flow potentially advecting warmer air while a moderating maritime influence and possible afternoon sea breeze keep daytime maxima clustered near 25–27 °C. Ensemble guidance exhibits modest spread due to uncertainties in cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing, producing the tight market clustering at 25 °C (25 %), 26 °C (32 %), and 27 °C (19.5 %). These probabilities align with climatological June highs near 27 °C yet reflect traders weighting the risk of suppressed heating over deterministic runs that reach 29–31 °C. Updated model cycles and observational trends through June 15 will likely narrow the implied range ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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