Current forecast consensus from numerical weather models supports the market's near-certain positioning on a 30°C high for Istanbul on June 15, with mid-June climatology and persistent high-pressure ridging favoring peak readings near this threshold under mostly clear skies and light southerly flow. Official guidance from sources such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global ensembles shows daytime maxima stabilizing around 28–30°C, aligning with historical averages that climb toward 26–28°C by mid-month. Traders' strong consensus reflects real-time model agreement and observed conditions through the day, though modest uncertainty remains from potential afternoon sea-breeze reinforcement or brief convective cloud development that could cap the peak 1–2°C lower.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 15?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 15?
30°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$51,008 交易量
$51,008 交易量
2026-06-15
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$51,008 交易量
$51,008 交易量
2026-06-15
26°C or below
$2,404 交易量
No
27°C
$2,767 交易量
No
28°C
$3,755 交易量
No
29°C
$9,815 交易量
No
30°C
$8,193 交易量
Yes
31°C
$7,696 交易量
No
32°C
$8,782 交易量
No
33°C
$2,281 交易量
No
34°C
$2,202 交易量
No
35°C
$1,135 交易量
No
36°C or higher
$1,979 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from numerical weather models supports the market's near-certain positioning on a 30°C high for Istanbul on June 15, with mid-June climatology and persistent high-pressure ridging favoring peak readings near this threshold under mostly clear skies and light southerly flow. Official guidance from sources such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global ensembles shows daytime maxima stabilizing around 28–30°C, aligning with historical averages that climb toward 26–28°C by mid-month. Traders' strong consensus reflects real-time model agreement and observed conditions through the day, though modest uncertainty remains from potential afternoon sea-breeze reinforcement or brief convective cloud development that could cap the peak 1–2°C lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
交易量
$51,008结束日期
2026-06-15市场开放时间
Jun 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from numerical weather models supports the market's near-certain positioning on a 30°C high for Istanbul on June 15, with mid-June climatology and persistent high-pressure ridging favoring peak readings near this threshold under mostly clear skies and light southerly flow. Official guidance from sources such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global ensembles shows daytime maxima stabilizing around 28–30°C, aligning with historical averages that climb toward 26–28°C by mid-month. Traders' strong consensus reflects real-time model agreement and observed conditions through the day, though modest uncertainty remains from potential afternoon sea-breeze reinforcement or brief convective cloud development that could cap the peak 1–2°C lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$51,008结束日期
2026-06-15市场开放时间
Jun 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Current forecast consensus from numerical weather models supports the market's near-certain positioning on a 30°C high for Istanbul on June 15, with mid-June climatology and persistent high-pressure ridging favoring peak readings near this threshold under mostly clear skies and light southerly flow. Official guidance from sources such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global ensembles shows daytime maxima stabilizing around 28–30°C, aligning with historical averages that climb toward 26–28°C by mid-month. Traders' strong consensus reflects real-time model agreement and observed conditions through the day, though modest uncertainty remains from potential afternoon sea-breeze reinforcement or brief convective cloud development that could cap the peak 1–2°C lower.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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