Latest ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and DWD indicate Munich’s June 18 maximum will likely peak near 30–32°C under predominantly sunny skies and light easterly or variable winds, supporting the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. Key differentiating factors include small uncertainties in daytime cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing depth, and the precise timing of any weak trough, which can trim or add 1–2°C to the daily high. Historical June maxima in the region average near 22–24°C, so current guidance reflects a notable warm anomaly driven by high pressure and southerly advection. Fresh model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will narrow the remaining spread before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Munich on June 18?
Highest temperature in Munich on June 18?
31°C 31%
32°C 26%
30°C 21%
29°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-06-18
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
9%
30°C
21%
31°C
31%
32°C
26%
33°C
8%
34°C or higher
6%
31°C 31%
32°C 26%
30°C 21%
29°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-06-18
24°C或以下
$148 交易量
<1%
25°C
$47 交易量
<1%
26°C
$371 交易量
1%
27°C
$71 交易量
1%
28°C
$1,633 交易量
3%
29°C
$1,276 交易量
9%
30°C
$1,192 交易量
21%
31°C
$179 交易量
31%
32°C
$372 交易量
26%
33°C
$161 交易量
8%
34°C or higher
$532 交易量
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and DWD indicate Munich’s June 18 maximum will likely peak near 30–32°C under predominantly sunny skies and light easterly or variable winds, supporting the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. Key differentiating factors include small uncertainties in daytime cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing depth, and the precise timing of any weak trough, which can trim or add 1–2°C to the daily high. Historical June maxima in the region average near 22–24°C, so current guidance reflects a notable warm anomaly driven by high pressure and southerly advection. Fresh model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will narrow the remaining spread before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 16, 2026, 1:07 AM ET
交易量
$5,965结束日期
2026-06-18市场开放时间
Jun 16, 2026, 1:07 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and DWD indicate Munich’s June 18 maximum will likely peak near 30–32°C under predominantly sunny skies and light easterly or variable winds, supporting the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. Key differentiating factors include small uncertainties in daytime cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing depth, and the precise timing of any weak trough, which can trim or add 1–2°C to the daily high. Historical June maxima in the region average near 22–24°C, so current guidance reflects a notable warm anomaly driven by high pressure and southerly advection. Fresh model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will narrow the remaining spread before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,965结束日期
2026-06-18市场开放时间
Jun 16, 2026, 1:07 AM ETLatest ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and DWD indicate Munich’s June 18 maximum will likely peak near 30–32°C under predominantly sunny skies and light easterly or variable winds, supporting the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. Key differentiating factors include small uncertainties in daytime cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing depth, and the precise timing of any weak trough, which can trim or add 1–2°C to the daily high. Historical June maxima in the region average near 22–24°C, so current guidance reflects a notable warm anomaly driven by high pressure and southerly advection. Fresh model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will narrow the remaining spread before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题