Latest ensemble forecasts from major models place Milan's June 18 maximum near 33–34 °C, with subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island amplification creating the narrow spread reflected in trader positioning. Daytime insolation under mostly clear skies, light northerly flow, and low-level moisture values around 8–10 g kg⁻¹ support strong surface heating, yet minor variations in afternoon cloud timing or slight shifts in the 850 hPa ridge axis can trim or add 1 °C. Historical June maxima in Milan average near 28 °C, so current anomalies underscore the sensitivity of peak readings to these mesoscale details; updated 12–18 UTC model runs tomorrow morning will likely resolve the final 0.5 °C uncertainty before markets close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Milan on June 18?
34°C 42%
33°C 35%
32°C 11%
35°C 9%
$10,575 交易量
$10,575 交易量
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
11%
33°C
35%
34°C
42%
35°C
9%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
34°C 42%
33°C 35%
32°C 11%
35°C 9%
$10,575 交易量
$10,575 交易量
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
11%
33°C
35%
34°C
42%
35°C
9%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 16, 2026, 1:08 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest ensemble forecasts from major models place Milan's June 18 maximum near 33–34 °C, with subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island amplification creating the narrow spread reflected in trader positioning. Daytime insolation under mostly clear skies, light northerly flow, and low-level moisture values around 8–10 g kg⁻¹ support strong surface heating, yet minor variations in afternoon cloud timing or slight shifts in the 850 hPa ridge axis can trim or add 1 °C. Historical June maxima in Milan average near 28 °C, so current anomalies underscore the sensitivity of peak readings to these mesoscale details; updated 12–18 UTC model runs tomorrow morning will likely resolve the final 0.5 °C uncertainty before markets close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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