Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory highlight an active southwest monsoon and low-pressure trough driving widespread showers and thunderstorms across June 15–16, which suppress daytime heating and keep maximum temperatures below the seasonal June average near 31°C. Multi-model consensus and local sea-breeze effects introduce variability in peak timing, supporting the tight market clustering around 28–29°C as the most probable outcomes. While longer-term seasonal outlooks anticipate above-normal warmth for the month, the immediate synoptic pattern overrides climatological baselines. Updated HKO guidance and fresh model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 16?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 16?
29°C 33%
28°C 31%
30°C 19%
27°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-06-16
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
13%
28°C
31%
29°C
33%
30°C
19%
31°C
6%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
<1%
29°C 33%
28°C 31%
30°C 19%
27°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-06-16
23°C or below
$158 交易量
<1%
24°C
$168 交易量
<1%
25°C
$291 交易量
<1%
26°C
$573 交易量
2%
27°C
$359 交易量
13%
28°C
$248 交易量
31%
29°C
$385 交易量
33%
30°C
$221 交易量
19%
31°C
$455 交易量
6%
32°C
$637 交易量
2%
33°C or higher
$83 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory highlight an active southwest monsoon and low-pressure trough driving widespread showers and thunderstorms across June 15–16, which suppress daytime heating and keep maximum temperatures below the seasonal June average near 31°C. Multi-model consensus and local sea-breeze effects introduce variability in peak timing, supporting the tight market clustering around 28–29°C as the most probable outcomes. While longer-term seasonal outlooks anticipate above-normal warmth for the month, the immediate synoptic pattern overrides climatological baselines. Updated HKO guidance and fresh model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$3,469结束日期
2026-06-16市场开放时间
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory highlight an active southwest monsoon and low-pressure trough driving widespread showers and thunderstorms across June 15–16, which suppress daytime heating and keep maximum temperatures below the seasonal June average near 31°C. Multi-model consensus and local sea-breeze effects introduce variability in peak timing, supporting the tight market clustering around 28–29°C as the most probable outcomes. While longer-term seasonal outlooks anticipate above-normal warmth for the month, the immediate synoptic pattern overrides climatological baselines. Updated HKO guidance and fresh model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$3,469结束日期
2026-06-16市场开放时间
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory highlight an active southwest monsoon and low-pressure trough driving widespread showers and thunderstorms across June 15–16, which suppress daytime heating and keep maximum temperatures below the seasonal June average near 31°C. Multi-model consensus and local sea-breeze effects introduce variability in peak timing, supporting the tight market clustering around 28–29°C as the most probable outcomes. While longer-term seasonal outlooks anticipate above-normal warmth for the month, the immediate synoptic pattern overrides climatological baselines. Updated HKO guidance and fresh model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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