**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 15, 2026, centers on 28–30°C, with 29°C carrying the highest implied probability at 43.5%.** Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance highlights an active southwest monsoon and low-pressure trough driving unsettled conditions, with heavy rain and high cloud cover expected to limit daytime heating. This aligns with model consensus showing maximum temperatures of 26–29°C under widespread showers and overcast skies, well below the seasonal June average of around 30–32°C. Rainfall and thick cloud reduce incoming solar radiation, preventing the surface warming that would otherwise push highs into the low 30s during clearer summer periods. Recent seasonal outlooks note above-normal temperatures overall for June–August amid long-term warming trends, yet the immediate synoptic pattern favors suppressed maxima. Updated forecasts through June 14 reinforce this wet, cooler setup, keeping the 28–29°C band as the consensus range while leaving modest room for 30°C if breaks in the rain occur.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 15?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 15?
29°C 44%
28°C 27%
30°C 23%
31°C 5.9%
最新
$37,108 交易量
最新
$37,108 交易量
2026-06-15
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
27%
29°C
44%
30°C
23%
31°C
6%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
29°C 44%
28°C 27%
30°C 23%
31°C 5.9%
最新
$37,108 交易量
最新
$37,108 交易量
2026-06-15
23°C or below
$934 交易量
<1%
24°C
$298 交易量
<1%
25°C
$2,040 交易量
<1%
26°C
$2,926 交易量
<1%
27°C
$17,576 交易量
<1%
28°C
$3,571 交易量
27%
29°C
$3,647 交易量
44%
30°C
$3,018 交易量
23%
31°C
$2,541 交易量
6%
32°C
$1,426 交易量
1%
33°C or higher
$1,130 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 15, 2026, centers on 28–30°C, with 29°C carrying the highest implied probability at 43.5%.** Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance highlights an active southwest monsoon and low-pressure trough driving unsettled conditions, with heavy rain and high cloud cover expected to limit daytime heating. This aligns with model consensus showing maximum temperatures of 26–29°C under widespread showers and overcast skies, well below the seasonal June average of around 30–32°C.
Rainfall and thick cloud reduce incoming solar radiation, preventing the surface warming that would otherwise push highs into the low 30s during clearer summer periods. Recent seasonal outlooks note above-normal temperatures overall for June–August amid long-term warming trends, yet the immediate synoptic pattern favors suppressed maxima. Updated forecasts through June 14 reinforce this wet, cooler setup, keeping the 28–29°C band as the consensus range while leaving modest room for 30°C if breaks in the rain occur.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
交易量
$37,108结束日期
2026-06-15市场开放时间
Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 15, 2026, centers on 28–30°C, with 29°C carrying the highest implied probability at 43.5%.** Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance highlights an active southwest monsoon and low-pressure trough driving unsettled conditions, with heavy rain and high cloud cover expected to limit daytime heating. This aligns with model consensus showing maximum temperatures of 26–29°C under widespread showers and overcast skies, well below the seasonal June average of around 30–32°C.
Rainfall and thick cloud reduce incoming solar radiation, preventing the surface warming that would otherwise push highs into the low 30s during clearer summer periods. Recent seasonal outlooks note above-normal temperatures overall for June–August amid long-term warming trends, yet the immediate synoptic pattern favors suppressed maxima. Updated forecasts through June 14 reinforce this wet, cooler setup, keeping the 28–29°C band as the consensus range while leaving modest room for 30°C if breaks in the rain occur.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$37,108结束日期
2026-06-15市场开放时间
Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 15, 2026, centers on 28–30°C, with 29°C carrying the highest implied probability at 43.5%.** Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance highlights an active southwest monsoon and low-pressure trough driving unsettled conditions, with heavy rain and high cloud cover expected to limit daytime heating. This aligns with model consensus showing maximum temperatures of 26–29°C under widespread showers and overcast skies, well below the seasonal June average of around 30–32°C. Rainfall and thick cloud reduce incoming solar radiation, preventing the surface warming that would otherwise push highs into the low 30s during clearer summer periods. Recent seasonal outlooks note above-normal temperatures overall for June–August amid long-term warming trends, yet the immediate synoptic pattern favors suppressed maxima. Updated forecasts through June 14 reinforce this wet, cooler setup, keeping the 28–29°C band as the consensus range while leaving modest room for 30°C if breaks in the rain occur.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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