Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and local Dutch services converge on a daily maximum of 17–18°C for Amsterdam on June 14, reflecting persistent northwesterly flow off the cooler North Sea, widespread cloud cover, and light showers that limit daytime heating. These conditions align with early-June climatology, where average highs reach about 18°C amid variable Atlantic influences. The near-even split in market-implied odds between 17°C and 18°C captures minor uncertainties in exact peak timing and local measurement at official stations, with lower probabilities for outliers driven by the low likelihood of significant warming or cooling deviations on this date. Updated model runs and real-time observations will refine the final recorded high.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Amsterdam on June 14?
17°C 49%
18°C 44%
16°C 5.5%
19°C 3.6%
$17,173 交易量
$17,173 交易量
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
6%
17°C
49%
18°C
44%
19°C
4%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
17°C 49%
18°C 44%
16°C 5.5%
19°C 3.6%
$17,173 交易量
$17,173 交易量
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
6%
17°C
49%
18°C
44%
19°C
4%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 12, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and local Dutch services converge on a daily maximum of 17–18°C for Amsterdam on June 14, reflecting persistent northwesterly flow off the cooler North Sea, widespread cloud cover, and light showers that limit daytime heating. These conditions align with early-June climatology, where average highs reach about 18°C amid variable Atlantic influences. The near-even split in market-implied odds between 17°C and 18°C captures minor uncertainties in exact peak timing and local measurement at official stations, with lower probabilities for outliers driven by the low likelihood of significant warming or cooling deviations on this date. Updated model runs and real-time observations will refine the final recorded high.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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