**PAGASA’s official extended outlook for Metro Manila shows a forecasted high of 34°C on June 16, 2026, with a 30% rain chance and lows near 25°C, placing this outcome at the top of trader-implied probabilities (41%).** Nearby values of 33°C (18%) and 35°C (24.5%) capture the typical spread in short-range model guidance and slight variations from urban heat-island effects or localized convection. June marks the onset of the southwest monsoon over Luzon, when increasing cloud cover and scattered showers normally cap daytime maxima near or slightly below the long-term June average of ~32–33°C. Current sub-seasonal guidance from PAGASA indicates slightly warmer-than-usual conditions across Luzon for the June 11–17 period, supporting the modest upward shift in market odds toward 34–35°C. No extreme heat indices, stalled high-pressure systems, or atypical sea-surface temperatures are reported that would push readings to 36°C or higher (combined ~9%). With resolution only two days away, the tight clustering around 33–35°C reflects traders weighting the latest official forecast and ensemble consensus while discounting lower-probability scenarios such as clear skies allowing brief spikes or heavier rain suppressing the peak.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Manila on June 16?
Highest temperature in Manila on June 16?
34°C 41%
35°C 25%
33°C 16%
36°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-06-16
28°C或以下
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
19%
34°C
41%
35°C
25%
36°C
8%
37°C
1%
38°C或更高
1%
34°C 41%
35°C 25%
33°C 16%
36°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-06-16
28°C或以下
$122 交易量
<1%
29°C
$221 交易量
<1%
30°C
$19 交易量
1%
31°C
$124 交易量
1%
32°C
$652 交易量
3%
33°C
$48 交易量
19%
34°C
$80 交易量
41%
35°C
$23 交易量
25%
36°C
$23 交易量
8%
37°C
$12 交易量
1%
38°C或更高
$26 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**PAGASA’s official extended outlook for Metro Manila shows a forecasted high of 34°C on June 16, 2026, with a 30% rain chance and lows near 25°C, placing this outcome at the top of trader-implied probabilities (41%).** Nearby values of 33°C (18%) and 35°C (24.5%) capture the typical spread in short-range model guidance and slight variations from urban heat-island effects or localized convection.
June marks the onset of the southwest monsoon over Luzon, when increasing cloud cover and scattered showers normally cap daytime maxima near or slightly below the long-term June average of ~32–33°C. Current sub-seasonal guidance from PAGASA indicates slightly warmer-than-usual conditions across Luzon for the June 11–17 period, supporting the modest upward shift in market odds toward 34–35°C. No extreme heat indices, stalled high-pressure systems, or atypical sea-surface temperatures are reported that would push readings to 36°C or higher (combined ~9%).
With resolution only two days away, the tight clustering around 33–35°C reflects traders weighting the latest official forecast and ensemble consensus while discounting lower-probability scenarios such as clear skies allowing brief spikes or heavier rain suppressing the peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
交易量
$1,318结束日期
2026-06-16市场开放时间
Jun 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**PAGASA’s official extended outlook for Metro Manila shows a forecasted high of 34°C on June 16, 2026, with a 30% rain chance and lows near 25°C, placing this outcome at the top of trader-implied probabilities (41%).** Nearby values of 33°C (18%) and 35°C (24.5%) capture the typical spread in short-range model guidance and slight variations from urban heat-island effects or localized convection.
June marks the onset of the southwest monsoon over Luzon, when increasing cloud cover and scattered showers normally cap daytime maxima near or slightly below the long-term June average of ~32–33°C. Current sub-seasonal guidance from PAGASA indicates slightly warmer-than-usual conditions across Luzon for the June 11–17 period, supporting the modest upward shift in market odds toward 34–35°C. No extreme heat indices, stalled high-pressure systems, or atypical sea-surface temperatures are reported that would push readings to 36°C or higher (combined ~9%).
With resolution only two days away, the tight clustering around 33–35°C reflects traders weighting the latest official forecast and ensemble consensus while discounting lower-probability scenarios such as clear skies allowing brief spikes or heavier rain suppressing the peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,318结束日期
2026-06-16市场开放时间
Jun 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET**PAGASA’s official extended outlook for Metro Manila shows a forecasted high of 34°C on June 16, 2026, with a 30% rain chance and lows near 25°C, placing this outcome at the top of trader-implied probabilities (41%).** Nearby values of 33°C (18%) and 35°C (24.5%) capture the typical spread in short-range model guidance and slight variations from urban heat-island effects or localized convection. June marks the onset of the southwest monsoon over Luzon, when increasing cloud cover and scattered showers normally cap daytime maxima near or slightly below the long-term June average of ~32–33°C. Current sub-seasonal guidance from PAGASA indicates slightly warmer-than-usual conditions across Luzon for the June 11–17 period, supporting the modest upward shift in market odds toward 34–35°C. No extreme heat indices, stalled high-pressure systems, or atypical sea-surface temperatures are reported that would push readings to 36°C or higher (combined ~9%). With resolution only two days away, the tight clustering around 33–35°C reflects traders weighting the latest official forecast and ensemble consensus while discounting lower-probability scenarios such as clear skies allowing brief spikes or heavier rain suppressing the peak.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题