PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on June 14 point to a daytime high of 33°C under partly cloudy skies with a 40% rain chance, aligning closely with the long-term June average of 32–33°C driven by the onset of the southwest monsoon. This positions 32°C as the near-certain market outcome because official observations and model consensus show minimal deviation from seasonal norms, with typical humidity and cloud cover limiting extreme spikes. Traders assign negligible odds to outliers because rapid intensification would require unusual clear-sky conditions or suppressed convection, while heavier monsoon rains could cap readings below the threshold; updated PAGASA bulletins or real-time station data remain the key variables that could still shift resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Manila on June 14?
32°C 99.9%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$24,287 交易量
$24,287 交易量
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 99.9%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$24,287 交易量
$24,287 交易量
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on June 14 point to a daytime high of 33°C under partly cloudy skies with a 40% rain chance, aligning closely with the long-term June average of 32–33°C driven by the onset of the southwest monsoon. This positions 32°C as the near-certain market outcome because official observations and model consensus show minimal deviation from seasonal norms, with typical humidity and cloud cover limiting extreme spikes. Traders assign negligible odds to outliers because rapid intensification would require unusual clear-sky conditions or suppressed convection, while heavier monsoon rains could cap readings below the threshold; updated PAGASA bulletins or real-time station data remain the key variables that could still shift resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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