Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models place the June 14 minimum near the climatological average of 27°C, with trader sentiment split among 26–28°C due to modest uncertainty in nocturnal cooling. Persistent cloud cover and high humidity (around 80–90%) limit radiative heat loss overnight, while light northeasterly winds and a humid subtropical air mass advect warmth from the South China Sea. Above-normal seasonal temperatures this June further support readings in the upper 20s, though localized urban effects and any brief clear spells could allow brief dips toward 26°C. Official resolution hinges on the Observatory’s minimum at its reference station, with updates from the latest model runs likely to refine odds before midnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月14日香港最低气温?
26°C 45%
28°C 34.9%
27°C 29%
25°C 9%
$20,253 交易量
$20,253 交易量
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
3%
25°C
9%
26°C
31%
27°C
39%
28°C
27%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C或以上
<1%
26°C 45%
28°C 34.9%
27°C 29%
25°C 9%
$20,253 交易量
$20,253 交易量
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
3%
25°C
9%
26°C
31%
27°C
39%
28°C
27%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models place the June 14 minimum near the climatological average of 27°C, with trader sentiment split among 26–28°C due to modest uncertainty in nocturnal cooling. Persistent cloud cover and high humidity (around 80–90%) limit radiative heat loss overnight, while light northeasterly winds and a humid subtropical air mass advect warmth from the South China Sea. Above-normal seasonal temperatures this June further support readings in the upper 20s, though localized urban effects and any brief clear spells could allow brief dips toward 26°C. Official resolution hinges on the Observatory’s minimum at its reference station, with updates from the latest model runs likely to refine odds before midnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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