Current forecast models from sources including the Hong Kong Observatory and international providers indicate minimum temperatures of 25–27°C on June 15, driven by typical early-summer subtropical conditions with high humidity, cloud cover, and limited overnight radiative cooling. Seasonal guidance issued May 29 projects above-normal temperatures for June–August 2026, consistent with recent observations showing overnight lows near 25–26°C. Thunderstorms or showers noted in short-range outlooks could slightly suppress daytime highs but are unlikely to alter minimums substantially. Trader sentiment, reflected in the 48% implied probability for 26°C and combined 70%+ weighting on 25–27°C outcomes, aligns closely with this model consensus and historical June climatology of average lows around 27°C. Updated numerical weather prediction runs ahead of resolution will provide the next key data points.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月15日香港最低气温？
6月15日香港最低气温？
26°C 48%
25°C 26%
27°C 25%
24°C 3.8%
最新
最新
2026-06-15
22°C或以下
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
26%
26°C
48%
27°C
25%
28°C
3%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C或以上
<1%
26°C 48%
25°C 26%
27°C 25%
24°C 3.8%
最新
最新
2026-06-15
22°C或以下
$5 交易量
1%
23°C
$120 交易量
1%
24°C
$99 交易量
4%
25°C
$93 交易量
26%
26°C
$62 交易量
48%
27°C
$47 交易量
25%
28°C
$8 交易量
3%
29°C
$92 交易量
1%
30°C
$407 交易量
<1%
31°C
$150 交易量
<1%
32°C或以上
$405 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models from sources including the Hong Kong Observatory and international providers indicate minimum temperatures of 25–27°C on June 15, driven by typical early-summer subtropical conditions with high humidity, cloud cover, and limited overnight radiative cooling. Seasonal guidance issued May 29 projects above-normal temperatures for June–August 2026, consistent with recent observations showing overnight lows near 25–26°C. Thunderstorms or showers noted in short-range outlooks could slightly suppress daytime highs but are unlikely to alter minimums substantially. Trader sentiment, reflected in the 48% implied probability for 26°C and combined 70%+ weighting on 25–27°C outcomes, aligns closely with this model consensus and historical June climatology of average lows around 27°C. Updated numerical weather prediction runs ahead of resolution will provide the next key data points.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Jun 13, 2026, 12:33 AM ET
交易量
$1,488结束日期
2026-06-15市场开放时间
Jun 13, 2026, 12:33 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models from sources including the Hong Kong Observatory and international providers indicate minimum temperatures of 25–27°C on June 15, driven by typical early-summer subtropical conditions with high humidity, cloud cover, and limited overnight radiative cooling. Seasonal guidance issued May 29 projects above-normal temperatures for June–August 2026, consistent with recent observations showing overnight lows near 25–26°C. Thunderstorms or showers noted in short-range outlooks could slightly suppress daytime highs but are unlikely to alter minimums substantially. Trader sentiment, reflected in the 48% implied probability for 26°C and combined 70%+ weighting on 25–27°C outcomes, aligns closely with this model consensus and historical June climatology of average lows around 27°C. Updated numerical weather prediction runs ahead of resolution will provide the next key data points.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$1,488结束日期
2026-06-15市场开放时间
Jun 13, 2026, 12:33 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including the Hong Kong Observatory and international providers indicate minimum temperatures of 25–27°C on June 15, driven by typical early-summer subtropical conditions with high humidity, cloud cover, and limited overnight radiative cooling. Seasonal guidance issued May 29 projects above-normal temperatures for June–August 2026, consistent with recent observations showing overnight lows near 25–26°C. Thunderstorms or showers noted in short-range outlooks could slightly suppress daytime highs but are unlikely to alter minimums substantially. Trader sentiment, reflected in the 48% implied probability for 26°C and combined 70%+ weighting on 25–27°C outcomes, aligns closely with this model consensus and historical June climatology of average lows around 27°C. Updated numerical weather prediction runs ahead of resolution will provide the next key data points.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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