**Trader consensus strongly favors a 26°C minimum on June 12, 2026, reflecting the Hong Kong Observatory forecast of a 26–29°C daily range under mainly cloudy skies with scattered showers.** This aligns with long-term June climatology, where overnight lows average near 26–27°C amid the subtropical summer regime. Early-month observations through June 11 showed mean minimum temperatures of 26.5°C, with no anomalous cooling influences such as strong monsoon surges or upper-level troughs evident in model guidance. The near-certainty in the market (99.8% implied probability) stems from consistent multi-model agreement and the narrow historical variability of minimum temperatures during this period. Only a rare, sharp nocturnal radiative cooling event or instrument-specific deviation could shift the recorded low outside the 26°C bin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月12日香港最低气温？
6月12日香港最低气温？
26°C 99.8%
21°C或以下 <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$42,932 交易量
$42,932 交易量
2026-06-12
21°C或以下
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C或以上
<1%
26°C 99.8%
21°C或以下 <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$42,932 交易量
$42,932 交易量
2026-06-12
21°C或以下
$848 交易量
<1%
22°C
$944 交易量
<1%
23°C
$2,444 交易量
<1%
24°C
$2,932 交易量
<1%
25°C
$6,758 交易量
<1%
26°C
$21,873 交易量
100%
27°C
$4,426 交易量
<1%
28°C
$908 交易量
<1%
29°C
$710 交易量
<1%
30°C
$420 交易量
<1%
31°C或以上
$668 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 26°C minimum on June 12, 2026, reflecting the Hong Kong Observatory forecast of a 26–29°C daily range under mainly cloudy skies with scattered showers.** This aligns with long-term June climatology, where overnight lows average near 26–27°C amid the subtropical summer regime. Early-month observations through June 11 showed mean minimum temperatures of 26.5°C, with no anomalous cooling influences such as strong monsoon surges or upper-level troughs evident in model guidance. The near-certainty in the market (99.8% implied probability) stems from consistent multi-model agreement and the narrow historical variability of minimum temperatures during this period. Only a rare, sharp nocturnal radiative cooling event or instrument-specific deviation could shift the recorded low outside the 26°C bin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Jun 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$42,932结束日期
2026-06-12市场开放时间
Jun 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 26°C minimum on June 12, 2026, reflecting the Hong Kong Observatory forecast of a 26–29°C daily range under mainly cloudy skies with scattered showers.** This aligns with long-term June climatology, where overnight lows average near 26–27°C amid the subtropical summer regime. Early-month observations through June 11 showed mean minimum temperatures of 26.5°C, with no anomalous cooling influences such as strong monsoon surges or upper-level troughs evident in model guidance. The near-certainty in the market (99.8% implied probability) stems from consistent multi-model agreement and the narrow historical variability of minimum temperatures during this period. Only a rare, sharp nocturnal radiative cooling event or instrument-specific deviation could shift the recorded low outside the 26°C bin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$42,932结束日期
2026-06-12市场开放时间
Jun 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus strongly favors a 26°C minimum on June 12, 2026, reflecting the Hong Kong Observatory forecast of a 26–29°C daily range under mainly cloudy skies with scattered showers.** This aligns with long-term June climatology, where overnight lows average near 26–27°C amid the subtropical summer regime. Early-month observations through June 11 showed mean minimum temperatures of 26.5°C, with no anomalous cooling influences such as strong monsoon surges or upper-level troughs evident in model guidance. The near-certainty in the market (99.8% implied probability) stems from consistent multi-model agreement and the narrow historical variability of minimum temperatures during this period. Only a rare, sharp nocturnal radiative cooling event or instrument-specific deviation could shift the recorded low outside the 26°C bin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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