Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and regional models indicate a daytime peak of 32°C in Guangzhou on June 14, driven by typical early-summer subtropical conditions with moderate humidity, light winds, and limited cloud cover allowing efficient solar heating without convective cooling. Current surface observations and ensemble guidance show temperatures stabilizing near this threshold, aligning with historical June averages of 31–33°C and supporting the market's 100% implied probability for exactly 32°C as the daily high. Realistic challenges include rapid afternoon thunderstorm development, which could suppress the peak by 1–2°C, or minor discrepancies in official station measurements versus model outputs that might shift the recorded maximum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Guangzhou on June 14?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on June 14?
32°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$61,398 交易量
$61,398 交易量
2026-06-14
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$61,398 交易量
$61,398 交易量
2026-06-14
23°C or below
$151 交易量
No
24°C
$151 交易量
No
25°C
$568 交易量
No
26°C
$4,320 交易量
No
27°C
$3,364 交易量
No
28°C
$5,542 交易量
No
29°C
$4,844 交易量
No
30°C
$7,159 交易量
No
31°C
$9,847 交易量
No
32°C
$14,480 交易量
Yes
33°C or higher
$10,973 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and regional models indicate a daytime peak of 32°C in Guangzhou on June 14, driven by typical early-summer subtropical conditions with moderate humidity, light winds, and limited cloud cover allowing efficient solar heating without convective cooling. Current surface observations and ensemble guidance show temperatures stabilizing near this threshold, aligning with historical June averages of 31–33°C and supporting the market's 100% implied probability for exactly 32°C as the daily high. Realistic challenges include rapid afternoon thunderstorm development, which could suppress the peak by 1–2°C, or minor discrepancies in official station measurements versus model outputs that might shift the recorded maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 12, 2026, 12:17 AM ET
交易量
$61,398结束日期
2026-06-14市场开放时间
Jun 12, 2026, 12:17 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and regional models indicate a daytime peak of 32°C in Guangzhou on June 14, driven by typical early-summer subtropical conditions with moderate humidity, light winds, and limited cloud cover allowing efficient solar heating without convective cooling. Current surface observations and ensemble guidance show temperatures stabilizing near this threshold, aligning with historical June averages of 31–33°C and supporting the market's 100% implied probability for exactly 32°C as the daily high. Realistic challenges include rapid afternoon thunderstorm development, which could suppress the peak by 1–2°C, or minor discrepancies in official station measurements versus model outputs that might shift the recorded maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$61,398结束日期
2026-06-14市场开放时间
Jun 12, 2026, 12:17 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and regional models indicate a daytime peak of 32°C in Guangzhou on June 14, driven by typical early-summer subtropical conditions with moderate humidity, light winds, and limited cloud cover allowing efficient solar heating without convective cooling. Current surface observations and ensemble guidance show temperatures stabilizing near this threshold, aligning with historical June averages of 31–33°C and supporting the market's 100% implied probability for exactly 32°C as the daily high. Realistic challenges include rapid afternoon thunderstorm development, which could suppress the peak by 1–2°C, or minor discrepancies in official station measurements versus model outputs that might shift the recorded maximum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题