Recent forecasts from agencies like the Hong Kong Observatory and Met Office point to a June 15 high near 29–30°C in Guangzhou amid rainstorm conditions, keeping the market tightly contested between those bins. Subtropical monsoon dynamics dominate, with high humidity, variable cloud cover, and afternoon convection from South China Sea moisture potentially suppressing peaks through evaporative cooling or allowing brief solar heating if showers arrive later. Urban heat island effects around Baiyun Airport add slight upward bias, while steering winds and model spread on precipitation timing create the narrow gap separating 28°C from 31°C outcomes. Updated guidance ahead of the daily maximum will clarify whether convective activity or clearer intervals prevail.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Guangzhou on June 15?
30°C 34%
29°C 27%
28°C 18%
31°C 16%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
18%
29°C
27%
30°C
34%
31°C
16%
32°C or higher
6%
30°C 34%
29°C 27%
28°C 18%
31°C 16%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
18%
29°C
27%
30°C
34%
31°C
16%
32°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from agencies like the Hong Kong Observatory and Met Office point to a June 15 high near 29–30°C in Guangzhou amid rainstorm conditions, keeping the market tightly contested between those bins. Subtropical monsoon dynamics dominate, with high humidity, variable cloud cover, and afternoon convection from South China Sea moisture potentially suppressing peaks through evaporative cooling or allowing brief solar heating if showers arrive later. Urban heat island effects around Baiyun Airport add slight upward bias, while steering winds and model spread on precipitation timing create the narrow gap separating 28°C from 31°C outcomes. Updated guidance ahead of the daily maximum will clarify whether convective activity or clearer intervals prevail.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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