Current atmospheric conditions and short-range forecast models from agencies like Roshydromet indicate Moscow will reach a daily maximum of 19°C on June 14 under overcast skies with light showers, producing the market's overwhelming 99.5% implied probability for that outcome. Mid-June climatology in the region typically features highs near 20–21°C, but persistent cloud cover and modest southerly flow have suppressed daytime heating and kept readings aligned with the lower end of seasonal norms. Official station data and real-time observations through midday support this consensus, with minimal model spread on peak values. Only an unexpected late-day clearing or localized urban heat island effect exceeding 1–2°C could realistically push the recorded high to 20°C or above before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Moscow on June 14?
Highest temperature in Moscow on June 14?
19°C 99.5%
20°C <1%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
$73,706 交易量
$73,706 交易量
2026-06-14
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
100%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
19°C 99.5%
20°C <1%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
$73,706 交易量
$73,706 交易量
2026-06-14
17°C or below
$30,557 交易量
<1%
18°C
$12,628 交易量
<1%
19°C
$6,391 交易量
100%
20°C
$7,239 交易量
1%
21°C
$5,027 交易量
<1%
22°C
$3,615 交易量
<1%
23°C
$3,049 交易量
<1%
24°C
$2,620 交易量
<1%
25°C
$1,145 交易量
<1%
26°C
$641 交易量
<1%
27°C or higher
$961 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current atmospheric conditions and short-range forecast models from agencies like Roshydromet indicate Moscow will reach a daily maximum of 19°C on June 14 under overcast skies with light showers, producing the market's overwhelming 99.5% implied probability for that outcome. Mid-June climatology in the region typically features highs near 20–21°C, but persistent cloud cover and modest southerly flow have suppressed daytime heating and kept readings aligned with the lower end of seasonal norms. Official station data and real-time observations through midday support this consensus, with minimal model spread on peak values. Only an unexpected late-day clearing or localized urban heat island effect exceeding 1–2°C could realistically push the recorded high to 20°C or above before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 12, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
交易量
$73,706结束日期
2026-06-14市场开放时间
Jun 12, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current atmospheric conditions and short-range forecast models from agencies like Roshydromet indicate Moscow will reach a daily maximum of 19°C on June 14 under overcast skies with light showers, producing the market's overwhelming 99.5% implied probability for that outcome. Mid-June climatology in the region typically features highs near 20–21°C, but persistent cloud cover and modest southerly flow have suppressed daytime heating and kept readings aligned with the lower end of seasonal norms. Official station data and real-time observations through midday support this consensus, with minimal model spread on peak values. Only an unexpected late-day clearing or localized urban heat island effect exceeding 1–2°C could realistically push the recorded high to 20°C or above before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$73,706结束日期
2026-06-14市场开放时间
Jun 12, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current atmospheric conditions and short-range forecast models from agencies like Roshydromet indicate Moscow will reach a daily maximum of 19°C on June 14 under overcast skies with light showers, producing the market's overwhelming 99.5% implied probability for that outcome. Mid-June climatology in the region typically features highs near 20–21°C, but persistent cloud cover and modest southerly flow have suppressed daytime heating and kept readings aligned with the lower end of seasonal norms. Official station data and real-time observations through midday support this consensus, with minimal model spread on peak values. Only an unexpected late-day clearing or localized urban heat island effect exceeding 1–2°C could realistically push the recorded high to 20°C or above before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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