Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS place Moscow’s June 15 afternoon maximum near 21–22 °C, driving the near-even market probabilities between those two outcomes. Variable cloud cover, scattered showers, and modest southwesterly flow are limiting daytime radiative heating while preventing stronger warm advection, keeping the distribution tightly centered. Small differences in the timing or intensity of any convective cells could shift the observed peak by 1 °C, explaining the modest probabilities assigned to 20 °C and 23 °C. Historical June maxima average around 21–22 °C, so current guidance aligns with climatology but retains typical short-range uncertainty until the final model runs and observational updates arrive overnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Moscow on June 15?
Highest temperature in Moscow on June 15?
22°C 30%
21°C 29%
20°C 18%
23°C 17%
最新
最新
2026-06-15
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
5%
20°C
18%
21°C
29%
22°C
30%
23°C
17%
24°C
5%
25°C
2%
26°C or higher
1%
22°C 30%
21°C 29%
20°C 18%
23°C 17%
最新
最新
2026-06-15
16°C or below
$303 交易量
<1%
17°C
$515 交易量
1%
18°C
$383 交易量
1%
19°C
$506 交易量
5%
20°C
$184 交易量
18%
21°C
$138 交易量
29%
22°C
$219 交易量
30%
23°C
$307 交易量
17%
24°C
$609 交易量
5%
25°C
$1,375 交易量
2%
26°C or higher
$2,520 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS place Moscow’s June 15 afternoon maximum near 21–22 °C, driving the near-even market probabilities between those two outcomes. Variable cloud cover, scattered showers, and modest southwesterly flow are limiting daytime radiative heating while preventing stronger warm advection, keeping the distribution tightly centered. Small differences in the timing or intensity of any convective cells could shift the observed peak by 1 °C, explaining the modest probabilities assigned to 20 °C and 23 °C. Historical June maxima average around 21–22 °C, so current guidance aligns with climatology but retains typical short-range uncertainty until the final model runs and observational updates arrive overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 13, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
交易量
$7,007结束日期
2026-06-15市场开放时间
Jun 13, 2026, 12:23 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS place Moscow’s June 15 afternoon maximum near 21–22 °C, driving the near-even market probabilities between those two outcomes. Variable cloud cover, scattered showers, and modest southwesterly flow are limiting daytime radiative heating while preventing stronger warm advection, keeping the distribution tightly centered. Small differences in the timing or intensity of any convective cells could shift the observed peak by 1 °C, explaining the modest probabilities assigned to 20 °C and 23 °C. Historical June maxima average around 21–22 °C, so current guidance aligns with climatology but retains typical short-range uncertainty until the final model runs and observational updates arrive overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,007结束日期
2026-06-15市场开放时间
Jun 13, 2026, 12:23 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS place Moscow’s June 15 afternoon maximum near 21–22 °C, driving the near-even market probabilities between those two outcomes. Variable cloud cover, scattered showers, and modest southwesterly flow are limiting daytime radiative heating while preventing stronger warm advection, keeping the distribution tightly centered. Small differences in the timing or intensity of any convective cells could shift the observed peak by 1 °C, explaining the modest probabilities assigned to 20 °C and 23 °C. Historical June maxima average around 21–22 °C, so current guidance aligns with climatology but retains typical short-range uncertainty until the final model runs and observational updates arrive overnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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