Recent forecasts from sources including the BBC and AccuWeather place Madrid’s June 16 high near 33°C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light easterly winds that favor typical early-summer daytime heating without strong advection of cooler air. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with most runs clustering between 32–34°C, consistent with climatological norms for mid-June (average highs near 30–33°C). The market’s heaviest weighting on 33°C and 34°C reflects this model consensus and the short lead time, which reduces uncertainty from longer-range variability. Minor upward revisions in some guidance have kept 34°C as the second-most favored outcome, while probabilities for 35°C or higher remain low absent signs of anomalous warmth or delayed cooling. Updated model runs and AEMET briefings over the next 48 hours are the key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Madrid on June 16?
Highest temperature in Madrid on June 16?
33°C 41%
34°C 27%
32°C 16%
31°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-06-16
30°C or below
3%
31°C
8%
32°C
16%
33°C
41%
34°C
27%
35°C
6%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
33°C 41%
34°C 27%
32°C 16%
31°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-06-16
30°C or below
$86 交易量
3%
31°C
$85 交易量
8%
32°C
$68 交易量
16%
33°C
$175 交易量
41%
34°C
$170 交易量
27%
35°C
$41 交易量
6%
36°C
$45 交易量
1%
37°C
$45 交易量
1%
38°C
$25 交易量
<1%
39°C
$15 交易量
<1%
40°C or higher
$15 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the BBC and AccuWeather place Madrid’s June 16 high near 33°C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light easterly winds that favor typical early-summer daytime heating without strong advection of cooler air. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with most runs clustering between 32–34°C, consistent with climatological norms for mid-June (average highs near 30–33°C). The market’s heaviest weighting on 33°C and 34°C reflects this model consensus and the short lead time, which reduces uncertainty from longer-range variability. Minor upward revisions in some guidance have kept 34°C as the second-most favored outcome, while probabilities for 35°C or higher remain low absent signs of anomalous warmth or delayed cooling. Updated model runs and AEMET briefings over the next 48 hours are the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$652结束日期
2026-06-16市场开放时间
Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the BBC and AccuWeather place Madrid’s June 16 high near 33°C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light easterly winds that favor typical early-summer daytime heating without strong advection of cooler air. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with most runs clustering between 32–34°C, consistent with climatological norms for mid-June (average highs near 30–33°C). The market’s heaviest weighting on 33°C and 34°C reflects this model consensus and the short lead time, which reduces uncertainty from longer-range variability. Minor upward revisions in some guidance have kept 34°C as the second-most favored outcome, while probabilities for 35°C or higher remain low absent signs of anomalous warmth or delayed cooling. Updated model runs and AEMET briefings over the next 48 hours are the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$652结束日期
2026-06-16市场开放时间
Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETRecent forecasts from sources including the BBC and AccuWeather place Madrid’s June 16 high near 33°C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light easterly winds that favor typical early-summer daytime heating without strong advection of cooler air. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with most runs clustering between 32–34°C, consistent with climatological norms for mid-June (average highs near 30–33°C). The market’s heaviest weighting on 33°C and 34°C reflects this model consensus and the short lead time, which reduces uncertainty from longer-range variability. Minor upward revisions in some guidance have kept 34°C as the second-most favored outcome, while probabilities for 35°C or higher remain low absent signs of anomalous warmth or delayed cooling. Updated model runs and AEMET briefings over the next 48 hours are the key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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