Current meteorological forecasts for Shanghai on June 14 indicate an overnight low near 20°C, driven by persistent cloud cover and high humidity during the early Meiyu (plum rain) season, which limits radiative cooling and stabilizes temperatures. Multiple models converge on this range amid typical seasonal conditions of light showers and southerly flow, producing the market's overwhelming 98.7% implied probability for exactly 20°C. Clearer skies or an unexpected frontal passage could allow greater nighttime cooling and shift the minimum lower, while stronger southerly advection might keep readings slightly warmer; however, short-term model agreement and the narrow diurnal range reduce the likelihood of significant deviation before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月14日上海最低气温？
6月14日上海最低气温？
20°C 98.6%
19°C <1%
18°C <1%
17°C或以下 <1%
$53,625 交易量
$53,625 交易量
2026-06-14
17°C或以下
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
99%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C或更高
<1%
20°C 98.6%
19°C <1%
18°C <1%
17°C或以下 <1%
$53,625 交易量
$53,625 交易量
2026-06-14
17°C或以下
$2,214 交易量
<1%
18°C
$3,540 交易量
1%
19°C
$2,436 交易量
1%
20°C
$3,768 交易量
99%
21°C
$6,849 交易量
<1%
22°C
$6,841 交易量
<1%
23°C
$7,623 交易量
<1%
24°C
$7,799 交易量
<1%
25°C
$7,679 交易量
<1%
26°C
$2,257 交易量
<1%
27°C或更高
$2,811 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts for Shanghai on June 14 indicate an overnight low near 20°C, driven by persistent cloud cover and high humidity during the early Meiyu (plum rain) season, which limits radiative cooling and stabilizes temperatures. Multiple models converge on this range amid typical seasonal conditions of light showers and southerly flow, producing the market's overwhelming 98.7% implied probability for exactly 20°C. Clearer skies or an unexpected frontal passage could allow greater nighttime cooling and shift the minimum lower, while stronger southerly advection might keep readings slightly warmer; however, short-term model agreement and the narrow diurnal range reduce the likelihood of significant deviation before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$53,625结束日期
2026-06-14市场开放时间
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts for Shanghai on June 14 indicate an overnight low near 20°C, driven by persistent cloud cover and high humidity during the early Meiyu (plum rain) season, which limits radiative cooling and stabilizes temperatures. Multiple models converge on this range amid typical seasonal conditions of light showers and southerly flow, producing the market's overwhelming 98.7% implied probability for exactly 20°C. Clearer skies or an unexpected frontal passage could allow greater nighttime cooling and shift the minimum lower, while stronger southerly advection might keep readings slightly warmer; however, short-term model agreement and the narrow diurnal range reduce the likelihood of significant deviation before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$53,625结束日期
2026-06-14市场开放时间
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETCurrent meteorological forecasts for Shanghai on June 14 indicate an overnight low near 20°C, driven by persistent cloud cover and high humidity during the early Meiyu (plum rain) season, which limits radiative cooling and stabilizes temperatures. Multiple models converge on this range amid typical seasonal conditions of light showers and southerly flow, producing the market's overwhelming 98.7% implied probability for exactly 20°C. Clearer skies or an unexpected frontal passage could allow greater nighttime cooling and shift the minimum lower, while stronger southerly advection might keep readings slightly warmer; however, short-term model agreement and the narrow diurnal range reduce the likelihood of significant deviation before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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