Recent meteorological forecasts for Shanghai on June 15 indicate minimum temperatures clustering around 21–23°C, driven by typical early-summer East Asian monsoon conditions with moderate humidity, variable cloud cover, and light easterly winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Ensemble model outputs show slight spreads tied to the timing and extent of passing showers, which can suppress lows by retaining heat or allow brief dips near 21°C under clearer intervals. Historical June climatology places average overnight lows near 22–24°C, providing a baseline against which current model consensus aligns closely. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow uncertainty band, with traders weighting the most probable outcomes based on the latest model runs and local urban heat influences ahead of final observational resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月15日上海最低气温?
22°C 42%
23°C 34%
21°C 12.8%
24°C 11%
17°C或以下
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
5%
21°C
13%
22°C
42%
23°C
34%
24°C
14%
25°C
4%
26°C
1%
27°C或以上
<1%
22°C 42%
23°C 34%
21°C 12.8%
24°C 11%
17°C或以下
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
5%
21°C
13%
22°C
42%
23°C
34%
24°C
14%
25°C
4%
26°C
1%
27°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 13, 2026, 12:33 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent meteorological forecasts for Shanghai on June 15 indicate minimum temperatures clustering around 21–23°C, driven by typical early-summer East Asian monsoon conditions with moderate humidity, variable cloud cover, and light easterly winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Ensemble model outputs show slight spreads tied to the timing and extent of passing showers, which can suppress lows by retaining heat or allow brief dips near 21°C under clearer intervals. Historical June climatology places average overnight lows near 22–24°C, providing a baseline against which current model consensus aligns closely. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow uncertainty band, with traders weighting the most probable outcomes based on the latest model runs and local urban heat influences ahead of final observational resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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