Persistent cloud cover, widespread showers, and thunderstorms across northern Taiwan on June 14 are limiting solar insolation and suppressing daytime heating in Taipei’s subtropical climate, where June climatological highs average near 31–33°C. Official short-range guidance from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration highlights a stable, moist air mass with high relative humidity and reduced diurnal temperature range, anchoring the maximum near 27°C. Ensemble models show minimal spread around this value, with only modest upside risk if breaks in cloud cover allow brief warming. These conditions explain the market’s strong 81% implied probability for 27°C, as traders weigh real-time observational data and forecast consensus against the season’s warmer baseline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月14日台北气温最高?
27°C 83%
28°C 19%
30°C 1.8%
29°C 1.5%
$41,197 交易量
$41,197 交易量
23°C或以下
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
84%
28°C
19%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C或以上
<1%
27°C 83%
28°C 19%
30°C 1.8%
29°C 1.5%
$41,197 交易量
$41,197 交易量
23°C或以下
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
84%
28°C
19%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent cloud cover, widespread showers, and thunderstorms across northern Taiwan on June 14 are limiting solar insolation and suppressing daytime heating in Taipei’s subtropical climate, where June climatological highs average near 31–33°C. Official short-range guidance from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration highlights a stable, moist air mass with high relative humidity and reduced diurnal temperature range, anchoring the maximum near 27°C. Ensemble models show minimal spread around this value, with only modest upside risk if breaks in cloud cover allow brief warming. These conditions explain the market’s strong 81% implied probability for 27°C, as traders weigh real-time observational data and forecast consensus against the season’s warmer baseline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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