Recent Met Office and BBC guidance points to a daytime maximum of 21–22 °C in London on 14 June under building high pressure, light northwesterly winds, and a mix of sunny intervals with increasing afternoon cloud. These conditions favor modest surface heating while limiting stronger insolation that would push readings higher; any brief showers or thicker cloud could cap the peak at 20 °C or below. The near-even market split between 21 °C and 22 °C reflects genuine uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, exact cloud timing, and the urban heat-island contribution to official measurements. Historical June averages near 19–20 °C provide context, while updated model runs later today will clarify whether clearer skies allow the upper end of the range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月14日伦敦气温最高?
21°C 41%
22°C 36%
20°C 17%
23°C 7.1%
$74,398 交易量
$74,398 交易量
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
17%
21°C
41%
22°C
36%
23°C
7%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C或更高
<1%
21°C 41%
22°C 36%
20°C 17%
23°C 7.1%
$74,398 交易量
$74,398 交易量
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
17%
21°C
41%
22°C
36%
23°C
7%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent Met Office and BBC guidance points to a daytime maximum of 21–22 °C in London on 14 June under building high pressure, light northwesterly winds, and a mix of sunny intervals with increasing afternoon cloud. These conditions favor modest surface heating while limiting stronger insolation that would push readings higher; any brief showers or thicker cloud could cap the peak at 20 °C or below. The near-even market split between 21 °C and 22 °C reflects genuine uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, exact cloud timing, and the urban heat-island contribution to official measurements. Historical June averages near 19–20 °C provide context, while updated model runs later today will clarify whether clearer skies allow the upper end of the range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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