Trader consensus has priced the 29°C outcome at near-certainty because the latest model consensus from CMA, ECMWF, and GFS runs shows Wuhan’s daytime maximum stabilizing near that level under high pressure, light southeasterly flow, and modest humidity. These conditions favor gradual daytime heating without strong convective inhibition or advection of cooler air. Official station observations and RealFeel guidance through mid-morning align with the same narrow range. Market-implied odds reflect this tight scientific agreement, though a late-day increase in cloud cover, an unexpected shift in boundary-layer moisture, or microscale measurement differences at the primary Wuhan station could still shift the recorded high by 1–2°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Wuhan on June 14?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on June 14?
29°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
30°C <1%
$65,012 交易量
$65,012 交易量
2026-06-14
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
100%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
29°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
30°C <1%
$65,012 交易量
$65,012 交易量
2026-06-14
27°C or below
$6,577 交易量
<1%
28°C
$12,461 交易量
<1%
29°C
$12,999 交易量
100%
30°C
$8,145 交易量
<1%
31°C
$5,657 交易量
<1%
32°C
$4,639 交易量
<1%
33°C
$6,481 交易量
<1%
34°C
$2,917 交易量
<1%
35°C
$1,196 交易量
<1%
36°C
$2,399 交易量
<1%
37°C or higher
$1,564 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has priced the 29°C outcome at near-certainty because the latest model consensus from CMA, ECMWF, and GFS runs shows Wuhan’s daytime maximum stabilizing near that level under high pressure, light southeasterly flow, and modest humidity. These conditions favor gradual daytime heating without strong convective inhibition or advection of cooler air. Official station observations and RealFeel guidance through mid-morning align with the same narrow range. Market-implied odds reflect this tight scientific agreement, though a late-day increase in cloud cover, an unexpected shift in boundary-layer moisture, or microscale measurement differences at the primary Wuhan station could still shift the recorded high by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 12, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
交易量
$65,012结束日期
2026-06-14市场开放时间
Jun 12, 2026, 12:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has priced the 29°C outcome at near-certainty because the latest model consensus from CMA, ECMWF, and GFS runs shows Wuhan’s daytime maximum stabilizing near that level under high pressure, light southeasterly flow, and modest humidity. These conditions favor gradual daytime heating without strong convective inhibition or advection of cooler air. Official station observations and RealFeel guidance through mid-morning align with the same narrow range. Market-implied odds reflect this tight scientific agreement, though a late-day increase in cloud cover, an unexpected shift in boundary-layer moisture, or microscale measurement differences at the primary Wuhan station could still shift the recorded high by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$65,012结束日期
2026-06-14市场开放时间
Jun 12, 2026, 12:06 AM ETTrader consensus has priced the 29°C outcome at near-certainty because the latest model consensus from CMA, ECMWF, and GFS runs shows Wuhan’s daytime maximum stabilizing near that level under high pressure, light southeasterly flow, and modest humidity. These conditions favor gradual daytime heating without strong convective inhibition or advection of cooler air. Official station observations and RealFeel guidance through mid-morning align with the same narrow range. Market-implied odds reflect this tight scientific agreement, though a late-day increase in cloud cover, an unexpected shift in boundary-layer moisture, or microscale measurement differences at the primary Wuhan station could still shift the recorded high by 1–2°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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