Recent forecast models from sources including the BBC and timeanddate indicate a high near 32–34°C for Wuhan on June 15, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 32°C (40.5%) and 33°C (21%). Mid-June climatology features rising solar insolation and typical subtropical high-pressure influence over central China, supporting daily maxima above 30°C with limited cloud cover or rainfall expected to moderate temperatures. Updated model runs show consistency around this range rather than extremes, though minor steering pattern shifts could alter the peak by 1–2°C before resolution. Traders appear to weight these consensus projections heavily given the short time horizon to the daily maximum reading.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Wuhan on June 15?
32°C 40%
31°C 31%
33°C 21%
30°C 6%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
6%
31°C
28%
32°C
40%
33°C
21%
34°C
5%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 40%
31°C 31%
33°C 21%
30°C 6%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
6%
31°C
28%
32°C
40%
33°C
21%
34°C
5%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast models from sources including the BBC and timeanddate indicate a high near 32–34°C for Wuhan on June 15, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 32°C (40.5%) and 33°C (21%). Mid-June climatology features rising solar insolation and typical subtropical high-pressure influence over central China, supporting daily maxima above 30°C with limited cloud cover or rainfall expected to moderate temperatures. Updated model runs show consistency around this range rather than extremes, though minor steering pattern shifts could alter the peak by 1–2°C before resolution. Traders appear to weight these consensus projections heavily given the short time horizon to the daily maximum reading.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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