Recent short-term forecasts from agencies like the India Meteorological Department position 37–39°C as the most probable range for Lucknow’s June 16 maximum, aligning with market-implied odds favoring 38°C (36.5%) and 39°C (26.5%). Mid-June climatology shows highs typically near 38–40°C before monsoon moisture increases cloud cover and humidity, moderating peaks. Current model consensus indicates no intense heatwave or clear-sky amplification, with light winds and possible thundery development limiting further warming. Recent observed maxima around 37–39°C support this stability, though minor forecast shifts from updated runs could adjust probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Lucknow on June 16?
38°C 37%
39°C 20%
37°C 15%
36°C 8.9%
35°C or below
2%
36°C
9%
37°C
15%
38°C
37%
39°C
23%
40°C
7%
41°C
3%
42°C
3%
43°C
1%
44°C
<1%
45°C or higher
<1%
38°C 37%
39°C 20%
37°C 15%
36°C 8.9%
35°C or below
2%
36°C
9%
37°C
15%
38°C
37%
39°C
23%
40°C
7%
41°C
3%
42°C
3%
43°C
1%
44°C
<1%
45°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 14, 2026, 1:18 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent short-term forecasts from agencies like the India Meteorological Department position 37–39°C as the most probable range for Lucknow’s June 16 maximum, aligning with market-implied odds favoring 38°C (36.5%) and 39°C (26.5%). Mid-June climatology shows highs typically near 38–40°C before monsoon moisture increases cloud cover and humidity, moderating peaks. Current model consensus indicates no intense heatwave or clear-sky amplification, with light winds and possible thundery development limiting further warming. Recent observed maxima around 37–39°C support this stability, though minor forecast shifts from updated runs could adjust probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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