Recent IMD guidance and ensemble forecasts point to moderating pre-monsoon conditions over Uttar Pradesh, with moisture incursion and possible isolated thundershowers expected to limit peak heating on June 15 and explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 37–39 °C. Current analyses show daytime maxima likely between 38–42 °C depending on cloud cover, boundary-layer humidity, and steering winds associated with the approaching monsoon trough; higher outcomes above 40 °C remain possible only if clear skies and dry north-westerly flow persist. Historical June climatology for Lucknow centers near 39 °C, so traders weigh short-range model consensus against the risk of forecast busts from convective timing or revised IMD bulletins issued on the morning of the 15th.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月15日勒克瑙的最高温度？
6月15日勒克瑙的最高温度？
38°C 36%
37°C 31%
39°C 16%
36°C 7%
最新
$11,659 交易量
最新
$11,659 交易量
2026-06-15
34°C或以下
1%
35°C
3%
36°C
7%
37°C
31%
38°C
36%
39°C
16%
40°C
6%
41°C
1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C或更高
<1%
38°C 36%
37°C 31%
39°C 16%
36°C 7%
最新
$11,659 交易量
最新
$11,659 交易量
2026-06-15
34°C或以下
$1,876 交易量
1%
35°C
$1,050 交易量
3%
36°C
$532 交易量
7%
37°C
$256 交易量
31%
38°C
$702 交易量
36%
39°C
$1,602 交易量
16%
40°C
$1,230 交易量
6%
41°C
$2,198 交易量
1%
42°C
$645 交易量
<1%
43°C
$1,184 交易量
<1%
44°C或更高
$637 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent IMD guidance and ensemble forecasts point to moderating pre-monsoon conditions over Uttar Pradesh, with moisture incursion and possible isolated thundershowers expected to limit peak heating on June 15 and explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 37–39 °C. Current analyses show daytime maxima likely between 38–42 °C depending on cloud cover, boundary-layer humidity, and steering winds associated with the approaching monsoon trough; higher outcomes above 40 °C remain possible only if clear skies and dry north-westerly flow persist. Historical June climatology for Lucknow centers near 39 °C, so traders weigh short-range model consensus against the risk of forecast busts from convective timing or revised IMD bulletins issued on the morning of the 15th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 13, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
交易量
$11,659结束日期
2026-06-15市场开放时间
Jun 13, 2026, 1:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent IMD guidance and ensemble forecasts point to moderating pre-monsoon conditions over Uttar Pradesh, with moisture incursion and possible isolated thundershowers expected to limit peak heating on June 15 and explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 37–39 °C. Current analyses show daytime maxima likely between 38–42 °C depending on cloud cover, boundary-layer humidity, and steering winds associated with the approaching monsoon trough; higher outcomes above 40 °C remain possible only if clear skies and dry north-westerly flow persist. Historical June climatology for Lucknow centers near 39 °C, so traders weigh short-range model consensus against the risk of forecast busts from convective timing or revised IMD bulletins issued on the morning of the 15th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$11,659结束日期
2026-06-15市场开放时间
Jun 13, 2026, 1:03 AM ETRecent IMD guidance and ensemble forecasts point to moderating pre-monsoon conditions over Uttar Pradesh, with moisture incursion and possible isolated thundershowers expected to limit peak heating on June 15 and explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 37–39 °C. Current analyses show daytime maxima likely between 38–42 °C depending on cloud cover, boundary-layer humidity, and steering winds associated with the approaching monsoon trough; higher outcomes above 40 °C remain possible only if clear skies and dry north-westerly flow persist. Historical June climatology for Lucknow centers near 39 °C, so traders weigh short-range model consensus against the risk of forecast busts from convective timing or revised IMD bulletins issued on the morning of the 15th.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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