**Trader consensus has locked in 17°C as Wellington’s maximum temperature for June 14 because official MetService New Zealand forecasts and numerical weather prediction models converged on this value throughout the preceding 24–48 hours.** Northerly flow advected a mild air mass over the region, supporting above-average afternoon readings against a June climatological mean maximum near 13°C. With the observed peak aligning precisely with model guidance and no significant revisions in later runs, market-implied odds reached 100% on the 17°C outcome. Realistic challenges remain limited but include late-day cloud increases that suppress further warming, a sharper-than-expected southerly change, or minor discrepancies between the official observing site and broader model grids. New observational data or final MetService verification could still shift resolution if thresholds are narrowly missed.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月14日惠灵顿的最高温度？
6月14日惠灵顿的最高温度？
17°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$42,212 交易量
$42,212 交易量
2026-06-14
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
17°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$42,212 交易量
$42,212 交易量
2026-06-14
11°C or below
$251 交易量
No
12°C
$379 交易量
No
13°C
$490 交易量
No
14°C
$770 交易量
No
15°C
$7,644 交易量
No
16°C
$4,405 交易量
No
17°C
$9,585 交易量
Yes
18°C
$10,595 交易量
No
19°C
$5,574 交易量
No
20°C
$2,159 交易量
No
21°C or higher
$359 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has locked in 17°C as Wellington’s maximum temperature for June 14 because official MetService New Zealand forecasts and numerical weather prediction models converged on this value throughout the preceding 24–48 hours.**
Northerly flow advected a mild air mass over the region, supporting above-average afternoon readings against a June climatological mean maximum near 13°C. With the observed peak aligning precisely with model guidance and no significant revisions in later runs, market-implied odds reached 100% on the 17°C outcome.
Realistic challenges remain limited but include late-day cloud increases that suppress further warming, a sharper-than-expected southerly change, or minor discrepancies between the official observing site and broader model grids. New observational data or final MetService verification could still shift resolution if thresholds are narrowly missed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$42,212结束日期
2026-06-14市场开放时间
Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has locked in 17°C as Wellington’s maximum temperature for June 14 because official MetService New Zealand forecasts and numerical weather prediction models converged on this value throughout the preceding 24–48 hours.**
Northerly flow advected a mild air mass over the region, supporting above-average afternoon readings against a June climatological mean maximum near 13°C. With the observed peak aligning precisely with model guidance and no significant revisions in later runs, market-implied odds reached 100% on the 17°C outcome.
Realistic challenges remain limited but include late-day cloud increases that suppress further warming, a sharper-than-expected southerly change, or minor discrepancies between the official observing site and broader model grids. New observational data or final MetService verification could still shift resolution if thresholds are narrowly missed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$42,212结束日期
2026-06-14市场开放时间
Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
**Trader consensus has locked in 17°C as Wellington’s maximum temperature for June 14 because official MetService New Zealand forecasts and numerical weather prediction models converged on this value throughout the preceding 24–48 hours.** Northerly flow advected a mild air mass over the region, supporting above-average afternoon readings against a June climatological mean maximum near 13°C. With the observed peak aligning precisely with model guidance and no significant revisions in later runs, market-implied odds reached 100% on the 17°C outcome. Realistic challenges remain limited but include late-day cloud increases that suppress further warming, a sharper-than-expected southerly change, or minor discrepancies between the official observing site and broader model grids. New observational data or final MetService verification could still shift resolution if thresholds are narrowly missed.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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