Forecast consensus from agencies including AEMET and ECMWF centers on a Madrid maximum of 31–32 °C for June 15, 2026, under stable high pressure with light winds and mostly clear skies that favor strong daytime heating over the central plateau. This places the two leading outcomes nearly tied, as small differences in afternoon cloud development or boundary-layer mixing can shift the peak by 1 °C. June climatology shows typical highs near 29 °C, so current conditions represent modest above-average warmth without extreme heat-wave signals. Traders weigh the latest model runs and station observations, noting that any increase in instability or earlier sea-breeze influence could cap readings at 31 °C while drier, sunnier evolution supports 32 °C. Updated guidance expected overnight will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Madrid on June 15?
Highest temperature in Madrid on June 15?
31°C 40%
32°C 37%
30°C 10%
33°C 8.6%
最新
$15,533 交易量
最新
$15,533 交易量
2026-06-15
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
10%
31°C
40%
32°C
37%
33°C
9%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 40%
32°C 37%
30°C 10%
33°C 8.6%
最新
$15,533 交易量
最新
$15,533 交易量
2026-06-15
27°C or below
$399 交易量
<1%
28°C
$1,627 交易量
<1%
29°C
$1,763 交易量
2%
30°C
$1,743 交易量
10%
31°C
$1,286 交易量
40%
32°C
$1,788 交易量
37%
33°C
$2,133 交易量
9%
34°C
$2,890 交易量
1%
35°C
$1,086 交易量
<1%
36°C
$333 交易量
<1%
37°C or higher
$706 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from agencies including AEMET and ECMWF centers on a Madrid maximum of 31–32 °C for June 15, 2026, under stable high pressure with light winds and mostly clear skies that favor strong daytime heating over the central plateau. This places the two leading outcomes nearly tied, as small differences in afternoon cloud development or boundary-layer mixing can shift the peak by 1 °C. June climatology shows typical highs near 29 °C, so current conditions represent modest above-average warmth without extreme heat-wave signals. Traders weigh the latest model runs and station observations, noting that any increase in instability or earlier sea-breeze influence could cap readings at 31 °C while drier, sunnier evolution supports 32 °C. Updated guidance expected overnight will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 13, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
交易量
$15,533结束日期
2026-06-15市场开放时间
Jun 13, 2026, 12:10 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from agencies including AEMET and ECMWF centers on a Madrid maximum of 31–32 °C for June 15, 2026, under stable high pressure with light winds and mostly clear skies that favor strong daytime heating over the central plateau. This places the two leading outcomes nearly tied, as small differences in afternoon cloud development or boundary-layer mixing can shift the peak by 1 °C. June climatology shows typical highs near 29 °C, so current conditions represent modest above-average warmth without extreme heat-wave signals. Traders weigh the latest model runs and station observations, noting that any increase in instability or earlier sea-breeze influence could cap readings at 31 °C while drier, sunnier evolution supports 32 °C. Updated guidance expected overnight will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$15,533结束日期
2026-06-15市场开放时间
Jun 13, 2026, 12:10 AM ETForecast consensus from agencies including AEMET and ECMWF centers on a Madrid maximum of 31–32 °C for June 15, 2026, under stable high pressure with light winds and mostly clear skies that favor strong daytime heating over the central plateau. This places the two leading outcomes nearly tied, as small differences in afternoon cloud development or boundary-layer mixing can shift the peak by 1 °C. June climatology shows typical highs near 29 °C, so current conditions represent modest above-average warmth without extreme heat-wave signals. Traders weigh the latest model runs and station observations, noting that any increase in instability or earlier sea-breeze influence could cap readings at 31 °C while drier, sunnier evolution supports 32 °C. Updated guidance expected overnight will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题