Recent ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models cluster Seoul’s June 15 daytime maximum near 28–30 °C, producing the tight market distribution around those bins. Strong early-summer insolation combined with light southerly flow and limited cloud cover supports surface heating, while modest moisture and urban heat-island effects keep readings from spiking higher. Slight differences in afternoon convective timing and boundary-layer mixing among model runs create the narrow spread between 28 °C and 30 °C outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers because no strong synoptic feature is expected to shift temperatures outside this range before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Seoul on June 15?
29°C 37%
28°C 29%
30°C 25%
27°C 11%
$36,783 交易量
$36,783 交易量
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
11%
28°C
29%
29°C
37%
30°C
25%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
1%
29°C 37%
28°C 29%
30°C 25%
27°C 11%
$36,783 交易量
$36,783 交易量
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
11%
28°C
29%
29°C
37%
30°C
25%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models cluster Seoul’s June 15 daytime maximum near 28–30 °C, producing the tight market distribution around those bins. Strong early-summer insolation combined with light southerly flow and limited cloud cover supports surface heating, while modest moisture and urban heat-island effects keep readings from spiking higher. Slight differences in afternoon convective timing and boundary-layer mixing among model runs create the narrow spread between 28 °C and 30 °C outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers because no strong synoptic feature is expected to shift temperatures outside this range before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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