Latest numerical weather prediction models, including consensus from global ensembles, project a daytime maximum of 26°C for Istanbul on June 14 under stable high-pressure conditions with clear skies and light southerly flow. This aligns with climatological June averages of 25–27°C at the official Istanbul Airport station and recent observational trends showing gradual seasonal warming without significant marine-layer cooling or frontal passages. Trader positioning at 95% implied probability for 26°C reflects high confidence in these deterministic and ensemble outputs, with minimal spread across runs. Unanticipated increases in low-level cloud cover or a stronger-than-expected northerly breeze could suppress temperatures by 1–2°C, while localized urban heat effects or measurement timing at the resolution station remain the primary sources of residual uncertainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 14?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 14?
26°C 96.0%
27°C 4.1%
28°C <1%
20°C or below <1%
$50,191 交易量
$50,191 交易量
2026-06-14
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
96%
27°C
4%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
26°C 96.0%
27°C 4.1%
28°C <1%
20°C or below <1%
$50,191 交易量
$50,191 交易量
2026-06-14
20°C or below
$6,340 交易量
<1%
21°C
$1,408 交易量
<1%
22°C
$1,940 交易量
<1%
23°C
$5,702 交易量
<1%
24°C
$5,703 交易量
<1%
25°C
$12,367 交易量
<1%
26°C
$6,980 交易量
96%
27°C
$2,738 交易量
4%
28°C
$3,792 交易量
<1%
29°C
$1,630 交易量
<1%
30°C or higher
$2,088 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models, including consensus from global ensembles, project a daytime maximum of 26°C for Istanbul on June 14 under stable high-pressure conditions with clear skies and light southerly flow. This aligns with climatological June averages of 25–27°C at the official Istanbul Airport station and recent observational trends showing gradual seasonal warming without significant marine-layer cooling or frontal passages. Trader positioning at 95% implied probability for 26°C reflects high confidence in these deterministic and ensemble outputs, with minimal spread across runs. Unanticipated increases in low-level cloud cover or a stronger-than-expected northerly breeze could suppress temperatures by 1–2°C, while localized urban heat effects or measurement timing at the resolution station remain the primary sources of residual uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 12, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
交易量
$50,191结束日期
2026-06-14市场开放时间
Jun 12, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models, including consensus from global ensembles, project a daytime maximum of 26°C for Istanbul on June 14 under stable high-pressure conditions with clear skies and light southerly flow. This aligns with climatological June averages of 25–27°C at the official Istanbul Airport station and recent observational trends showing gradual seasonal warming without significant marine-layer cooling or frontal passages. Trader positioning at 95% implied probability for 26°C reflects high confidence in these deterministic and ensemble outputs, with minimal spread across runs. Unanticipated increases in low-level cloud cover or a stronger-than-expected northerly breeze could suppress temperatures by 1–2°C, while localized urban heat effects or measurement timing at the resolution station remain the primary sources of residual uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$50,191结束日期
2026-06-14市场开放时间
Jun 12, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models, including consensus from global ensembles, project a daytime maximum of 26°C for Istanbul on June 14 under stable high-pressure conditions with clear skies and light southerly flow. This aligns with climatological June averages of 25–27°C at the official Istanbul Airport station and recent observational trends showing gradual seasonal warming without significant marine-layer cooling or frontal passages. Trader positioning at 95% implied probability for 26°C reflects high confidence in these deterministic and ensemble outputs, with minimal spread across runs. Unanticipated increases in low-level cloud cover or a stronger-than-expected northerly breeze could suppress temperatures by 1–2°C, while localized urban heat effects or measurement timing at the resolution station remain the primary sources of residual uncertainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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