The market's overwhelming 99.9% implied probability on 30°C reflects the Hong Kong Observatory's official headquarters reading of a 30°C daily maximum on June 12, 2026, consistent with station data across the territory showing highs of 29–31°C. June climatology, with typical maxima near 31°C amid high humidity and frequent showers, aligns with this outcome, while model consensus and real-time observations ruled out significant deviations. Scenarios that could challenge resolution include post-event data revisions by the HKO or disputes over the precise measurement site, though historical patterns indicate such adjustments are rare once preliminary figures stabilize.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 12?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 12?
30°C 99.9%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$220,173 交易量
$220,173 交易量
2026-06-12
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
30°C 99.9%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$220,173 交易量
$220,173 交易量
2026-06-12
23°C or below
$2,740 交易量
<1%
24°C
$806 交易量
<1%
25°C
$1,838 交易量
<1%
26°C
$9,209 交易量
<1%
27°C
$20,048 交易量
<1%
28°C
$29,070 交易量
<1%
29°C
$25,571 交易量
<1%
30°C
$45,028 交易量
100%
31°C
$35,994 交易量
<1%
32°C
$28,565 交易量
<1%
33°C or higher
$21,303 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market's overwhelming 99.9% implied probability on 30°C reflects the Hong Kong Observatory's official headquarters reading of a 30°C daily maximum on June 12, 2026, consistent with station data across the territory showing highs of 29–31°C. June climatology, with typical maxima near 31°C amid high humidity and frequent showers, aligns with this outcome, while model consensus and real-time observations ruled out significant deviations. Scenarios that could challenge resolution include post-event data revisions by the HKO or disputes over the precise measurement site, though historical patterns indicate such adjustments are rare once preliminary figures stabilize.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Jun 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$220,173结束日期
2026-06-12市场开放时间
Jun 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market's overwhelming 99.9% implied probability on 30°C reflects the Hong Kong Observatory's official headquarters reading of a 30°C daily maximum on June 12, 2026, consistent with station data across the territory showing highs of 29–31°C. June climatology, with typical maxima near 31°C amid high humidity and frequent showers, aligns with this outcome, while model consensus and real-time observations ruled out significant deviations. Scenarios that could challenge resolution include post-event data revisions by the HKO or disputes over the precise measurement site, though historical patterns indicate such adjustments are rare once preliminary figures stabilize.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$220,173结束日期
2026-06-12市场开放时间
Jun 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The market's overwhelming 99.9% implied probability on 30°C reflects the Hong Kong Observatory's official headquarters reading of a 30°C daily maximum on June 12, 2026, consistent with station data across the territory showing highs of 29–31°C. June climatology, with typical maxima near 31°C amid high humidity and frequent showers, aligns with this outcome, while model consensus and real-time observations ruled out significant deviations. Scenarios that could challenge resolution include post-event data revisions by the HKO or disputes over the precise measurement site, though historical patterns indicate such adjustments are rare once preliminary figures stabilize.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题