Current ensemble forecasts from major meteorological centers point to a maximum temperature in Madrid of 34–36°C on June 18 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light easterly winds that favor strong daytime heating. With climatological June averages near 29–31°C, the elevated readings stem from above-normal insolation and minimal cloud cover, though subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact peak timing across models create the tight spread between 35°C and 36°C probabilities. Official guidance from sources such as the UK Met Office and BBC forecasts aligns closely with these central outcomes, while any late-day convective development or minor wind shift could cap the high nearer 34°C. Traders are weighting the latest model runs heavily ahead of tomorrow’s observations that will determine market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Madrid on June 18?
Highest temperature in Madrid on June 18?
35°C 40%
36°C 37%
34°C 15%
37°C 8.0%
最新
最新
2026-06-18
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
15%
35°C
40%
36°C
37%
37°C
8%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
35°C 40%
36°C 37%
34°C 15%
37°C 8.0%
最新
最新
2026-06-18
31°C or below
$759 交易量
<1%
32°C
$562 交易量
<1%
33°C
$479 交易量
1%
34°C
$2,283 交易量
15%
35°C
$1,307 交易量
40%
36°C
$1,643 交易量
37%
37°C
$1,134 交易量
8%
38°C
$465 交易量
<1%
39°C
$409 交易量
<1%
40°C
$302 交易量
<1%
41°C or higher
$302 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from major meteorological centers point to a maximum temperature in Madrid of 34–36°C on June 18 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light easterly winds that favor strong daytime heating. With climatological June averages near 29–31°C, the elevated readings stem from above-normal insolation and minimal cloud cover, though subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact peak timing across models create the tight spread between 35°C and 36°C probabilities. Official guidance from sources such as the UK Met Office and BBC forecasts aligns closely with these central outcomes, while any late-day convective development or minor wind shift could cap the high nearer 34°C. Traders are weighting the latest model runs heavily ahead of tomorrow’s observations that will determine market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 16, 2026, 1:12 AM ET
交易量
$9,643结束日期
2026-06-18市场开放时间
Jun 16, 2026, 1:12 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from major meteorological centers point to a maximum temperature in Madrid of 34–36°C on June 18 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light easterly winds that favor strong daytime heating. With climatological June averages near 29–31°C, the elevated readings stem from above-normal insolation and minimal cloud cover, though subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact peak timing across models create the tight spread between 35°C and 36°C probabilities. Official guidance from sources such as the UK Met Office and BBC forecasts aligns closely with these central outcomes, while any late-day convective development or minor wind shift could cap the high nearer 34°C. Traders are weighting the latest model runs heavily ahead of tomorrow’s observations that will determine market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$9,643结束日期
2026-06-18市场开放时间
Jun 16, 2026, 1:12 AM ETCurrent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological centers point to a maximum temperature in Madrid of 34–36°C on June 18 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light easterly winds that favor strong daytime heating. With climatological June averages near 29–31°C, the elevated readings stem from above-normal insolation and minimal cloud cover, though subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact peak timing across models create the tight spread between 35°C and 36°C probabilities. Official guidance from sources such as the UK Met Office and BBC forecasts aligns closely with these central outcomes, while any late-day convective development or minor wind shift could cap the high nearer 34°C. Traders are weighting the latest model runs heavily ahead of tomorrow’s observations that will determine market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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