Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability (49.5%) to a daily maximum of 92-93°F in Miami on June 16, reflecting the latest National Weather Service forecast models that project a continuation of above-average warmth under weak steering flow and minimal cloud cover. Recent runs from the GFS and ECMWF ensembles show afternoon highs stabilizing near this threshold after accounting for typical urban heat-island amplification and Atlantic sea-breeze timing. Historical June climatology places Miami’s average daily maximum around 89°F, providing context for the market’s modest upward bias, while uncertainty in exact boundary-layer moisture keeps secondary bins (90-91°F at 26.0%) viable. Updated model guidance and local observations are scheduled for release overnight, offering the next catalyst for position adjustments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月16日迈阿密气温最高？
6月16日迈阿密气温最高？
92-93°F 50%
90-91°F 32%
88-89°F 11%
94-95°F 6.2%
最新
最新
2026-06-16
81°F or below
1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
11%
90-91°F
32%
92-93°F
50%
94-95°F
6%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
1%
100°F or higher
1%
92-93°F 50%
90-91°F 32%
88-89°F 11%
94-95°F 6.2%
最新
最新
2026-06-16
81°F or below
$0 交易量
1%
82-83°F
$0 交易量
1%
84-85°F
$30 交易量
1%
86-87°F
$197 交易量
2%
88-89°F
$110 交易量
11%
90-91°F
$174 交易量
32%
92-93°F
$99 交易量
50%
94-95°F
$35 交易量
6%
96-97°F
$0 交易量
2%
98-99°F
$64 交易量
1%
100°F or higher
$5 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability (49.5%) to a daily maximum of 92-93°F in Miami on June 16, reflecting the latest National Weather Service forecast models that project a continuation of above-average warmth under weak steering flow and minimal cloud cover. Recent runs from the GFS and ECMWF ensembles show afternoon highs stabilizing near this threshold after accounting for typical urban heat-island amplification and Atlantic sea-breeze timing. Historical June climatology places Miami’s average daily maximum around 89°F, providing context for the market’s modest upward bias, while uncertainty in exact boundary-layer moisture keeps secondary bins (90-91°F at 26.0%) viable. Updated model guidance and local observations are scheduled for release overnight, offering the next catalyst for position adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 14, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$532结束日期
2026-06-16市场开放时间
Jun 14, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability (49.5%) to a daily maximum of 92-93°F in Miami on June 16, reflecting the latest National Weather Service forecast models that project a continuation of above-average warmth under weak steering flow and minimal cloud cover. Recent runs from the GFS and ECMWF ensembles show afternoon highs stabilizing near this threshold after accounting for typical urban heat-island amplification and Atlantic sea-breeze timing. Historical June climatology places Miami’s average daily maximum around 89°F, providing context for the market’s modest upward bias, while uncertainty in exact boundary-layer moisture keeps secondary bins (90-91°F at 26.0%) viable. Updated model guidance and local observations are scheduled for release overnight, offering the next catalyst for position adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$532结束日期
2026-06-16市场开放时间
Jun 14, 2026, 9:03 PM ETTrader consensus assigns the highest implied probability (49.5%) to a daily maximum of 92-93°F in Miami on June 16, reflecting the latest National Weather Service forecast models that project a continuation of above-average warmth under weak steering flow and minimal cloud cover. Recent runs from the GFS and ECMWF ensembles show afternoon highs stabilizing near this threshold after accounting for typical urban heat-island amplification and Atlantic sea-breeze timing. Historical June climatology places Miami’s average daily maximum around 89°F, providing context for the market’s modest upward bias, while uncertainty in exact boundary-layer moisture keeps secondary bins (90-91°F at 26.0%) viable. Updated model guidance and local observations are scheduled for release overnight, offering the next catalyst for position adjustments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题