Recent forecast models from sources including timeanddate and BBC Weather indicate isolated thunderstorms and persistent cloud cover over Shenzhen on June 15, limiting solar heating and supporting a daily maximum near 28–29°C. In this humid subtropical setting, the East Asian monsoon pattern often brings afternoon convection that further suppresses peaks through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. Current conditions align with mid-June climatology of 30–31°C highs, yet the near-term outlook shows slightly cooler readings due to increased moisture and storm activity. Traders weigh these short-range model consensus outputs against historical variability when assessing probabilities clustered around 28°C and 29°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Shenzhen on June 15?
29°C 37%
28°C 29%
30°C 22%
27°C 8%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
8%
28°C
29%
29°C
37%
30°C
22%
31°C
6%
32°C or higher
1%
29°C 37%
28°C 29%
30°C 22%
27°C 8%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
8%
28°C
29%
29°C
37%
30°C
22%
31°C
6%
32°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast models from sources including timeanddate and BBC Weather indicate isolated thunderstorms and persistent cloud cover over Shenzhen on June 15, limiting solar heating and supporting a daily maximum near 28–29°C. In this humid subtropical setting, the East Asian monsoon pattern often brings afternoon convection that further suppresses peaks through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. Current conditions align with mid-June climatology of 30–31°C highs, yet the near-term outlook shows slightly cooler readings due to increased moisture and storm activity. Traders weigh these short-range model consensus outputs against historical variability when assessing probabilities clustered around 28°C and 29°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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