Persistent cloud cover and widespread rainfall forecast for Shenzhen on June 16 are the dominant factors capping daily maximum temperatures near 28–29°C, as reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling limit surface heating amid high humidity levels typical of the East Asian monsoon. Official guidance indicates overcast skies with heavy showers, consistent with climatological patterns where June averages hover around 30–31°C but drop several degrees under sustained precipitation. Minor model differences in exact rainfall timing and any brief clear intervals account for the tight spread between the leading 28°C (31.5%) and 29°C (29.5%) outcomes, while probabilities fall sharply above 30°C absent a significant break in the cloud deck.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Shenzhen on June 16?
29°C 31%
28°C 29%
30°C 17%
27°C 12%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
6%
27°C
12%
28°C
29%
29°C
31%
30°C
17%
31°C
8%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
<1%
29°C 31%
28°C 29%
30°C 17%
27°C 12%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
6%
27°C
12%
28°C
29%
29°C
31%
30°C
17%
31°C
8%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent cloud cover and widespread rainfall forecast for Shenzhen on June 16 are the dominant factors capping daily maximum temperatures near 28–29°C, as reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling limit surface heating amid high humidity levels typical of the East Asian monsoon. Official guidance indicates overcast skies with heavy showers, consistent with climatological patterns where June averages hover around 30–31°C but drop several degrees under sustained precipitation. Minor model differences in exact rainfall timing and any brief clear intervals account for the tight spread between the leading 28°C (31.5%) and 29°C (29.5%) outcomes, while probabilities fall sharply above 30°C absent a significant break in the cloud deck.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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